Alexandre Muller vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2024 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	5
Double Faults
3	3
1st Serve Percentage
49%	59%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (26/32)	76% (35/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (14/33)	47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)	75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (11/46)	19% (6/32)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)	58% (19/33)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)	60% (3/5)
Winners
15	17
Unforced Errors
41	34
Net Points Won
64% (9/14)	71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
62% (40/65)	64% (50/78)
Return Points Won
36% (28/78)	38% (25/65)
Total Points Won
48% (68/143)	52% (75/143)
Last 10 Balls
1	9
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)	91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)	27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)	59% (13/22)

Chances of winning

Alexandre Muller
50.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.56)		1.89 ↓ (2.22)	7.1% (9.1%)

Preview Facts

Muller is ranked ATP: 68. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 55.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Alexandre Muller won against Roberto Carballes Baena?

Alexandre Muller has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Alexandre Muller?

Roberto Carballes Baena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:

09.04.2023 Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena 1:2

Latest results of Alexandre Muller

20.10.2024 Jakub Mensik - Alexandre Muller 2:0 ✺

19.10.2024 Maximilian Marterer - Alexandre Muller 1:2 ✺

17.10.2024 Andrey Rublev - Alexandre Muller 2:0 ✺

15.10.2024 Leo Borg - Alexandre Muller 0:2 ✺

08.10.2024 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena

21.10.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Arnaldi Canceled ✺

16.10.2024 Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena 2:1 ✺

14.10.2024 Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2 ✺

08.10.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Ben Shelton 0:2 ✺

04.10.2024 Arthur Fils - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Cazaux A. (LL)	Bye
2	Shelton B.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
3	Fognini F. (Q)	Bublik A.	0 : 2
4	Arnaldi M.	Rune H. (13)	0 : 2
5	De Minaur A. (9)	Navone M.	2 : 0
6	Baez S.	Kecmanovic M. (LL)	1 : 2
7	Draper J.	Lehecka J.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Fritz T. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
10	Darderi L.	Griekspoor T.	0 : 2
11	Fils A.	Cilic M. (PR)	2 : 0
12	Struff J-L.	Musetti L. (16)	2 : 0
13	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Carballes Baena R. (LL)	2 : 1
14	Borges N.	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
15	Halys Q. (Q)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Rublev A. (6)
17	Dimitrov G. (8)	Bye
18	Etcheverry T. M.	Zhang Z.	2 : 0
19	Machac T. (RET.)	Rinderknech A. (WC)	1 : 0
20	Michelsen A.	Hurkacz H. (12)	2 : 0
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (WC)	1 : 2
22	Khachanov K.	O'Connell C. (LL)	2 : 1
23	Popyrin A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Medvedev D. (4)
25	Ruud C. (7)	Bye
26	Thompson J.	Martinez P. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Bergs Z. (LL)	Gasquet R. (WC)	2 : 0
28	Mannarino A. (WC)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 0
29	Humbert U. (15)	Nakashima B.	2 : 1
30	Shang J. (Q)	Giron M. (Q)	0 : 2
31	Jarry N.	Sonego L. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Cazaux A. (LL)	Shelton B.	2 : 0
2	Bublik A.	Rune H. (13)	0 : 2
3	De Minaur A. (9)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
4	Draper J.	Fritz T. (5)	2 : 1
5	Zverev A. (3)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
6	Fils A.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
7	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
8	Cerundolo F.	Rublev A. (6)	2 : 0
9	Dimitrov G. (8)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 1
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
11	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Khachanov K.	1 : 2
12	Popyrin A.	Medvedev D. (4)	2 : 1
13	Ruud C. (7)	Thompson J.	1 : 2
14	Bergs Z.	Mannarino A.	1 : 2
15	Humbert U. (15)	Giron M.	2 : 0
16	Jarry N.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Cazaux A.	Rune H. (13)	1 : 2
2	De Minaur A. (9)	Draper J.	2 : 1
3	Zverev A. (3)	Fils A.	2 : 1
4	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Cerundolo F.	2 : 1
5	Dimitrov G. (8)	Rinderknech A.	2 : 1
6	Khachanov K.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
7	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
8	Humbert U. (15)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Rune H. (13)	De Minaur A. (9)	2 : 1
2	Zverev A. (3)	Tsitsipas S. (10)	2 : 0
3	Dimitrov G. (8)	Khachanov K.	0 : 2
4	Thompson J.	Humbert U. (15)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Rune H. (13)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
2	Khachanov K.	Humbert U. (15)	1 : 2

Final

1

Zverev A. (3)

Humbert U. (15)

2 : 0