Result
0:2
23/02/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 73% (24/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 50% (7/14) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 40% (19/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 68% (15/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 42% (5/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 66% (31/47) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 49% (34/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (51/116) | 56% (65/116) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 88% (7/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Alexandre Muller
45.3% | Sebastian Baez
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.3) |
|
1.74 ↑
(1.52) |
5.1%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Baez will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Muller is ranked ATP: 60. Baez is ranked ATP: 31.
- At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
- Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexandre Muller won against Sebastian Baez?
Alexandre Muller has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Alexandre Muller?
Sebastian Baez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
Latest results of Alexandre Muller
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Garin C. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Passaro F. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fonseca J. (3) | Monteiro T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marcondes I. (Q) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Barrios Vera T. (LL) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Lajovic D. (LL) | Altmaier D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Miguel L. (WC) | Gaubas V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Faria J. (LL) | Baez S. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Burruchaga R. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Heide G. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Hanfmann Y. | Reis Da Silva J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tabilo A. | Passaro F. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. (3) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. | Lajovic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Gaubas V. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Burruchaga R. A. | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hanfmann Y. | Cerundolo J. M. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tirante T. A. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kopriva V. | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. | Buse I. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Tabilo A. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
