Result
0:2
23/02/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
Colombia | ESPN |
Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | Eurosport 2 |
Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Romania | Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3 |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
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Aces |
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2 | 3 |
Double Faults |
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3 | 0 |
1st Serve Percentage |
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68% | 70% |
1st Serve Points Won |
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60% (28/47) | 73% (24/33) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
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32% (7/22) | 50% (7/14) |
Break Points Saved |
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58% (7/12) | 80% (4/5) |
1st Return Points Won |
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27% (9/33) | 40% (19/47) |
2nd Return Points Won |
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50% (7/14) | 68% (15/22) |
Break Points Converted |
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20% (1/5) | 42% (5/12) |
Service Points Won |
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51% (35/69) | 66% (31/47) |
Return Points Won |
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34% (16/47) | 49% (34/69) |
Total Points Won |
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44% (51/116) | 56% (65/116) |
Last 10 Balls |
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3 | 7 |
Match Points Saved |
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1 | 0 |
Service Games Won |
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44% (4/9) | 88% (7/8) |
Return Games Won |
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13% (1/8) | 56% (5/9) |
Total Games Won |
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29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Alexandre Muller 45.3% | Sebastian Baez 54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↓ (2.3) |
|
1.74 ↑ (1.52) |
5.1% (9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Baez will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Muller is ranked ATP: 60. Baez is ranked ATP: 31.
- At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
- Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexandre Muller won against Sebastian Baez?
Alexandre Muller has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Alexandre Muller?
Sebastian Baez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
Latest results of Alexandre Muller
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Shevchenko A. | Meligeni Alves F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
3 | Heide G. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
4 | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | Jarry N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
5 | Cerundolo F. (4) | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
6 | Darderi L. | Dellien H. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 0 |
7 | Fonseca J. (SE) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
8 | Moutet C. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
9 | Baez S. (5) | Burruchaga R. A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
10 | Navone M. | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 0 |
11 | Diaz Acosta F. | Monteiro T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
12 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Tabilo A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
13 | Martinez P. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
14 | Lajovic D. | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
15 | Munar J. | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 1 |
16 | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | Faria J. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals1 | Zverev A. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Comesana F. | Jarry N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
3 | Cerundolo F. (4) | Darderi L. | 2 : 1 |
4 | Muller A. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
5 | Baez S. (5) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
6 | Monteiro T. | Tseng C. H. | 1 : 2 |
7 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
8 | Munar J. | Faria J. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals1 | Zverev A. (1) | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
2 | Cerundolo F. (4) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
3 | Baez S. (5) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Comesana F. | Muller A. | 1 : 2 |
2 | Baez S. (5) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 1 |
Final1 | Muller A. | Baez S. (5) | 0 : 2 |