Alexei Popyrin vs Cameron Norrie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Geneva Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie
Result
0:2
22/05/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Aces
60
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
67%67%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (37/53)76% (34/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (12/26)68% (15/22)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)80% (4/5)
Average 1st Serve Speed
198 km/h181 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
162 km/h137 km/h
1st Return Points Won
24% (11/45)30% (16/53)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (7/22)54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)29% (2/7)
Winners
3315
Unforced Errors
3610
Net Points Won
88% (7/8)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
62% (49/79)73% (48/66)
Return Points Won
27% (18/66)38% (30/79)
Total Points Won
46% (67/145)54% (78/145)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
53.2%
Cameron Norrie
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.66)

    2.03
    (2.19)
    5.2%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Norrie will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cameron Norrie will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Norrie is ranked ATP: 90.
    • Recent performances by Popyrin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Norrie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Norrie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Cameron Norrie
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Munar J.Halys Q.1 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    4Cazaux A. (WC)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (4)Bye
    6Nishikori K.Tien L.2 : 1
    7Ofner S. (Q)Gakhov I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Borges N.Michelsen A. (7)2 : 1
    9Popyrin A. (5)Jarry N.2 : 1
    10Lajovic D. (WC)Fearnley J.0 : 2
    11Norrie C. (Q)Stricker D. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Arnaldi M. (8)Gaston H.2 : 1
    14Sell K. (Q)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    15Fucsovics M.Bergs Z.2 : 0
    16ByeDjokovic N. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Halys Q.2 : 0
    2Rinderknech A.Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    3Khachanov K. (4)Nishikori K. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Ofner S.Borges N.2 : 0
    5Popyrin A. (5)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    6Norrie C.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Arnaldi M. (8)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    8Fucsovics M.Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    2Khachanov K. (4)Ofner S.1 : 2
    3Popyrin A. (5)Norrie C.0 : 2
    4Arnaldi M. (8)Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Ofner S.2 : 0
    2Norrie C.Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2