Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Roma Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev
Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
56%63%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (20/32)74% (29/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (11/25)43% (10/23)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/39)38% (12/32)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (13/23)56% (14/25)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)67% (4/6)
Winners
1817
Unforced Errors
2816
Net Points Won
62% (8/13)85% (11/13)
Service Points Won
54% (31/57)63% (39/62)
Return Points Won
37% (23/62)46% (26/57)
Total Points Won
45% (54/119)55% (65/119)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
31.1%
Daniil Medvedev
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 72.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (3.37)

    1.39
    (1.28)
    5.3%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Medvedev will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 1 - 50%). Medvedev (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Popyrin (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.
    • Popyrin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Medvedev is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Medvedev is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev 2:1
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Navone M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (LL)Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5Cerundolo F. (17)Bye
    6Gaston H.Jarry N.0 : 2
    7Carballes Baena R. (RET.)Ofner S. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeTiafoe F. (15)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Barrios Vera T. (Q)Munar J.1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeKorda S. (22)
    13Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    14Fearnley J.Fognini F. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bublik A.Safiullin R.2 : 0
    16ByeRuud C. (6)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Diallo G.Giron M.1 : 2
    19Bellucci M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    20ByeHurkacz H. (30)
    21Mensik J. (20)Bye
    22Rinderknech A.Gigante M. (WC)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Fonseca J.2 : 0
    24ByeRublev A. (16)
    25Paul T. (11)Bye
    26Arnaldi M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    27Tien L.Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    28ByeMachac T. (19)
    29Dellien H. (LL)Bye
    30Borges N.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)1 : 2
    31Nardi L. (WC)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Bu Y.Darderi L.0 : 2
    35Kopriva V. (Q)Halys Q.2 : 0
    36ByeBaez S. (32)
    37Humbert U. (21)Bye
    38Hijikata R.Moutet C.1 : 2
    39Altmaier D.Comesana F.0 : 2
    40ByeRune H. (9)
    41Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    42Passaro F. (WC)Tseng C. H. (Q)2 : 1
    43Sonego L.Burruchaga R. A. (Q)0 : 2
    44ByeKhachanov K. (23)
    45Michelsen A. (31)Bye
    46Djere L.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    47Nishioka Y.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeAlcaraz C. (3)
    49Musetti L. (8)Bye
    50Medjedovic H.Virtanen O. (Q)0 : 2
    51Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    52ByeNakashima B. (28)
    53Popyrin A. (24)Bye
    54Taberner C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    55O'Connell C.Norrie C. (LL)0 : 2
    56ByeMedvedev D. (10)
    57Fils A. (13)Bye
    58Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    59Lehecka J.Muller A.1 : 2
    60ByeTsitsipas S. (18)
    61Shapovalov D. (27)Bye
    62Gaubas V. (Q)Dzumhur D.2 : 1
    63Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno-Busta P. (LL)2 : 1
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2De Jong J.Davidovich Fokina A. (25)2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F. (17)Jarry N.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Tiafoe F. (15)2 : 1
    5Shelton B. (12)Munar J.0 : 2
    6Vukic A.Korda S. (22)0 : 2
    7Berrettini M. (29)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Ruud C. (6)1 : 2
    9Fritz T. (4)Giron M.0 : 2
    10Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (30)0 : 2
    11Mensik J. (20)Gigante M.2 : 0
    12Marozsan F.Rublev A. (16)2 : 1
    13Paul T. (11)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Machac T. (19)0 : 2
    15Dellien H.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Nardi L.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    17Draper J. (5)Darderi L.2 : 0
    18Kopriva V.Baez S. (32)2 : 1
    19Humbert U. (RET.) (21)Moutet C.0 : 1
    20Comesana F.Rune H. (9)1 : 2
    21Dimitrov G. (14)Passaro F.0 : 2
    22Burruchaga R. A.Khachanov K. (23)1 : 2
    23Michelsen A. (31)Djere L.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    25Musetti L. (8)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    26Thompson J.Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
    27Popyrin A. (24)Taberner C.2 : 0
    28Norrie C.Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (13)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    30Muller A.Tsitsipas S. (18)0 : 2
    31Shapovalov D. (27)Gaubas V.0 : 2
    32Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F. (17)Ofner S.2 : 0
    3Munar J.Korda S. (22)2 : 0
    4Berrettini M. (RET.) (29)Ruud C. (6)0 : 1
    5Giron M.Hurkacz H. (30)1 : 2
    6Mensik J. (20)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    7Paul T. (11)Machac T. (19)2 : 1
    8Dellien H.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Rune H. (9)2 : 1
    11Passaro F.Khachanov K. (23)0 : 2
    12Djere L.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    13Musetti L. (8)Nakashima B. (28)2 : 0
    14Popyrin A. (24)Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (13)Tsitsipas S. (18)2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cerundolo F. (17)2 : 0
    2Munar J.Ruud C. (6)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (30)Mensik J. (20)2 : 1
    4Paul T. (11)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0
    5Draper J. (5)Moutet C.2 : 1
    6Khachanov K. (23)Alcaraz C. (3)1 : 2
    7Musetti L. (8)Medvedev D. (10)2 : 0
    8Fils A. (13)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Ruud C. (6)2 : 0
    2Hurkacz H. (30)Paul T. (11)0 : 2
    3Draper J. (5)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    4Musetti L. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Paul T. (11)2 : 1
    2Alcaraz C. (3)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2