Daniil Medvedev vs Alexei Popyrin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
12	7
Double Faults
8	7
1st Serve Percentage
53%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (44/58)	84% (53/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (25/52)	40% (16/40)
Break Points Saved
75% (9/12)	82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
16% (10/63)	26% (15/58)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (24/40)	52% (27/52)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)	25% (3/12)
Winners
20	37
Unforced Errors
40	46
Net Points Won
69% (11/16)	88% (23/26)
Service Points Won
63% (69/110)	67% (69/103)
Return Points Won
33% (34/103)	37% (41/110)
Total Points Won
48% (103/213)	52% (110/213)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)	88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)	19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)	53% (17/32)

Chances of winning

Daniil Medvedev
74%

Alexei Popyrin
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)		3.7 ↑ (3.21)	2.6% (5.2%)

What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 35.2% – 84.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 14. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 26.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Medvedev is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Alexei Popyrin?

Daniil Medvedev has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alexei Popyrin won against Daniil Medvedev?

Alexei Popyrin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin were as follows:

11.05.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev 0:2

30.10.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev 2:1

Latest results of Daniil Medvedev

29.07.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Dalibor Svrcina 2:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet 1:2 ✺

24.07.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Yibing Wu 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka 2:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Benjamin Bonzi - Daniil Medvedev 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Alexei Popyrin

29.07.2025 Nicolas Arseneault - Alexei Popyrin 0:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Yibing Wu - Alexei Popyrin 2:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Arthur Fery 1:3 ✺

27.06.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Baez FRO ✺

26.06.2025 Alex De Minaur - Alexei Popyrin 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Walton A.	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
3	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Arnaldi M. (32)
5	Griekspoor T. (24)	Bye
6	Herbert P. (Q)	Etcheverry T. M.	1 : 2
7	Martin D. (Q)	Munar J.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Cerundolo F. (14)
9	Medvedev D. (10)	Bye
10	Blockx A. (Q)	Svrcina D. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Arseneault N. (WC)	Royer V. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Bye	Popyrin A. (18)
13	Muller A. (29)	Bye
14	Kecmanovic M.	Halys Q.	2 : 1
15	Mochizuki S. (Q)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Rune H. (5)
17	Musetti L. (3)	Bye
18	Shang J.	Duckworth J. (Q)	0 : 2
19	Monfils G.	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	1 : 2
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (26)
21	Shapovalov D. (22)	Bye
22	Smith C. (Q)	Tien L.	0 : 2
23	Ofner S. (PR)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Machac T. (16)
25	Khachanov K. (11)	Bye
26	Fearnley J.	Ficovich J. P. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Nava E. (Q)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Atmane T. (LL)
29	Borges N. (30)	Bye
30	Bagnis F. (Q)	Pospisil V. (WC)	2 : 1
31	Safiullin R.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 1
32	Bye	Ruud C. (8)
33	Tiafoe F. (7)	Bye
34	Watanuki Y. (Q)	Altmaier D.	2 : 1
35	Vukic A.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Norrie C. (31)
37	Tsitsipas S. (23)	Bye
38	O'Connell C.	Tseng C. H. (LL)	2 : 0
39	Comesana F.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
40	Bye	De Minaur A. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (13)	Bye
42	Rinderknech A.	Galarneau A. (WC)	0 : 2
43	Marozsan F.	Dellien H.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (25)	Bye
46	Quinn E.	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
47	Giron M.	Mannarino A. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Shelton B. (4)
49	Rublev A. (6)	Bye
50	Bellucci M. (RET.)	Gaston H.	1 : 1
51	Kopriva V.	Bu Y.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Sonego L. (28)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (20)	Bye
54	Moutet C.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 0
55	Boyer T. (Q)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Fils A. (15)	Bye
58	Draxl L. (WC)	Carreno-Busta P.	1 : 2
59	McDonald M.	Goffin D.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Lehecka J. (19)
61	Diallo G. (27)	Bye
62	Coric B.	Gigante M. (WC)	1 : 2
63	Carballes Baena R.	Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)	1 : 0
64	Bye	Fritz T. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Walton A.	2 : 0
2	Schoolkate T.	Arnaldi M. (32)	1 : 2
3	Griekspoor T. (24)	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 2
4	Munar J.	Cerundolo F. (14)	1 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (10)	Svrcina D.	2 : 0
6	Arseneault N.	Popyrin A. (18)	0 : 2
7	Muller A. (29)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
8	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Rune H. (5)	0 : 2
9	Musetti L. (3)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
10	Barrios Vera T.	Michelsen A. (26)	0 : 2
11	Shapovalov D. (22)	Tien L.	0 : 2
12	Opelka R.	Machac T. (16)	2 : 1
13	Khachanov K. (11)	Ficovich J. P.	2 : 0
14	Nava E.	Atmane T.	2 : 0
15	Borges N. (30)	Bagnis F.	2 : 1
16	Safiullin R.	Ruud C. (8)	0 : 2
17	Tiafoe F. (7)	Watanuki Y.	2 : 1
18	Vukic A.	Norrie C. (31)	2 : 1
19	Tsitsipas S. (23)	O'Connell C.	1 : 2
20	Comesana F.	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (13)	Galarneau A.	2 : 1
22	Marozsan F.	Auger-Aliassime F. (21)	2 : 0
23	Nakashima B. (25)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
24	Mannarino A.	Shelton B. (4)	0 : 2
25	Rublev A. (6)	Gaston H.	2 : 0
26	Bu Y.	Sonego L. (28)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (20)	Moutet C.	2 : 0
28	Boyer T.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Fils A. (15)	Carreno-Busta P.	2 : 0
30	McDonald M.	Lehecka J. (19)	0 : 2
31	Diallo G. (27)	Gigante M.	2 : 0
32	Carballes Baena R.	Fritz T. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Arnaldi M. (32)	2 : 1
2	Etcheverry T. M.	Cerundolo F. (14)	0 : 2
3	Medvedev D. (10)	Popyrin A. (18)	1 : 2
4	Muller A. (29)	Rune H. (5)	0 : 2
5	Musetti L. (3)	Michelsen A. (26)	1 : 2
6	Tien L.	Opelka R.	2 : 0
7	Khachanov K. (11)	Nava E.	2 : 1
8	Borges N. (30)	Ruud C. (8)	0 : 2
9	Tiafoe F. (7)	Vukic A.	2 : 1
10	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
11	Cobolli F. (13)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
12	Nakashima B. (25)	Shelton B. (4)	1 : 2
13	Rublev A. (6)	Sonego L. (28)	2 : 1
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (20)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 0
15	Fils A. (15)	Lehecka J. (19)	1 : 2
16	Diallo G. (27)	Fritz T. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14)	1 : 0
2	Popyrin A. (18)	Rune H. (5)	2 : 1
3	Michelsen A. (26)	Tien L.	2 : 0
4	Khachanov K. (11)	Ruud C. (8)	2 : 0
5	Tiafoe F. (7)	De Minaur A. (9)	1 : 2
6	Cobolli F. (13)	Shelton B. (4)	1 : 2
7	Rublev A. (6)	Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20)	1 : 1
8	Lehecka J. (19)	Fritz T. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Popyrin A. (18)	2 : 1
2	Michelsen A. (26)	Khachanov K. (11)	0 : 2
3	De Minaur A. (9)	Shelton B. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rublev A. (6)	Fritz T. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Khachanov K. (11)	1 : 2
2	Shelton B. (4)	Fritz T. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Khachanov K. (11)

Shelton B. (4)

1 : 2