Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzak – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
104
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
72%52%
1st serve points won
78% (42/54)79% (34/43)
2nd serve points won
62% (13/21)46% (18/39)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)40% (2/5)
1st return points won
21% (9/43)26% (14/54)
2nd return points won
54% (21/39)38% (8/21)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)100% (2/2)
Winners
3922
Unforced errors
3018
Net points won
94% (17/18)69% (11/16)
Service Points Won
73% (55/75)64% (52/81)
Return Points Won
36% (29/81)27% (20/75)
Total Points Won
54% (84/156)46% (72/156)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
48.8%
Kamil Majchrzak
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexei Popyrin's form might have worsened.
  • Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamil Majchrzak's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamil Majchrzak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.71)

    1.85
    (2.02)
    3%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Popyrin (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 24 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kamil Majchrzak will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.88%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kamil Majchrzak will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Majchrzak (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 53. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 56.
    • Popyrin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Majchrzak has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Kamil Majchrzak
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2