Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Safiullin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
146
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
68%68%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (42/55)84% (37/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (13/26)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
16% (7/44)20% (11/55)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)33% (4/12)
Winners
3425
Unforced Errors
2514
Net Points Won
56% (5/9)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
65% (73/113)72% (67/93)
Return Points Won
28% (26/93)35% (40/113)
Total Points Won
48% (99/206)52% (107/206)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
42% (14/33)58% (19/33)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
53.6%
Roman Safiullin
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Safiullin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.88)

    2.03
    (1.88)
    5.6%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 60.6%97.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 26. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 71.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin were as follows:
    03.01.2024 Roman Safiullin - Alexei Popyrin 2:1
    14.05.2023 Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin 2:0
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Clarke J.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9TBD #17O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24