Alexei Popyrin vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac
Result
1:2
25/09/2024 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
2110
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
68%70%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (58/76)85% (60/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (18/36)60% (18/30)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)100% (4/4)
1st Return Points Won
15% (11/71)24% (18/76)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (12/30)50% (18/36)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)33% (2/6)
Winners
4441
Unforced Errors
4431
Net Points Won
64% (9/14)85% (17/20)
Max Points In Row
55
Service Points Won
68% (76/112)77% (78/101)
Return Points Won
23% (23/101)32% (36/112)
Total Points Won
46% (99/213)54% (114/213)
Max Games In Row
13
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)100% (17/17)
Return Games Won
0% (0/17)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
42% (14/33)58% (19/33)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
60.4%
Tomas Machac
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexei Popyrin's form might have worsened.
  • Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.38)

    2.4
    (3.04)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Machac will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 23. Machac is ranked ATP: 34.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Popyrin will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac were as follows:
    12.09.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac Machac T. retired
    07.08.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac 2:0
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    12.09.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac Machac T. retired
    11.09.2024 Tomas Machac - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Machac T. retired
    02.09.2024 Jack Draper - Tomas Machac 3:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Fils A.1 : 2
    2Van De Zandschulp B. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Navone M.Darderi L.2 : 0
    4Opelka R. (PR)Shelton B. (8)1 : 2
    5Ruud C. (3)Thompson J.0 : 2
    6Cilic M. (PR)Nishikori K. (WC)1 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Nishioka Y. (WC)1 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Rune H. (6)1 : 2
    9Paul T. (5)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    10Popyrin A.Machac T.1 : 2
    11Etcheverry T. M.O'Connell C. (Q)0 : 2
    12Michelsen A. (Q)Tsitsipas S. (4)2 : 1
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Nakashima B. (SE)0 : 2
    14Mochizuki S. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    15Draper J.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Hurkacz H. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fils A.Berrettini M. (RET.)0 : 1
    2Navone M.Shelton B. (8)0 : 2
    3Thompson J.Nishikori K.0 : 2
    4Nishioka Y.Rune H. (6)0 : 2
    5Paul T. (5)Machac T.1 : 2
    6O'Connell C.Michelsen A.0 : 2
    7Nakashima B.Humbert U.0 : 2
    8Draper J.Hurkacz H. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fils A.Shelton B. (8)2 : 1
    2Nishikori K.Rune H. (6)1 : 2
    3Machac T.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    4Humbert U.Draper J. (RET.)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fils A.Rune H. (6)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Humbert U.1 : 2

    Final
    1Fils A.Humbert U.2 : 1