Result
1:2
25/09/2024 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (58/76) | 85% (60/71) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 60% (18/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 100% (4/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 15% (11/71) | 24% (18/76) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 50% (18/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 33% (2/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 85% (17/20) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (76/112) | 77% (78/101) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (23/101) | 32% (36/112) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (99/213) | 54% (114/213) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 100% (17/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 58% (19/33) |
Chances of winning
Alexei Popyrin
60.4% | Tomas Machac
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexei Popyrin's form might have worsened.Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.38) |
|
2.4 ↓
(3.04) |
5.2%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Machac will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Popyrin is ranked ATP: 23. Machac is ranked ATP: 34.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Popyrin will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexei Popyrin won against Tomas Machac?
Alexei Popyrin has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Alexei Popyrin?
Tomas Machac has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac were as follows:
12.09.2024
Alexei Popyrin
-
Tomas Machac
Machac T. retired
07.08.2024
Alexei Popyrin
-
Tomas Machac
2:0
Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Fils A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Van De Zandschulp B. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Navone M. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. (PR) | Shelton B. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (3) | Thompson J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cilic M. (PR) | Nishikori K. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. | Nishioka Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Rune H. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Paul T. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Popyrin A. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Michelsen A. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Nakashima B. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Mochizuki S. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Draper J. | Bellucci M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Giron M. | Hurkacz H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fils A. | Berrettini M. (RET.) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Navone M. | Shelton B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Nishioka Y. | Rune H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paul T. (5) | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | O'Connell C. | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Draper J. | Hurkacz H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fils A. | Shelton B. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nishikori K. | Rune H. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Machac T. | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Humbert U. | Draper J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fils A. | Rune H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Machac T. | Humbert U. | 1 : 2 |
Final
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