Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Humbert – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert
Result
2:1
08/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
64%58%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (52/68)78% (52/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)51% (25/49)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)89% (8/9)
1st Return Points Won
25% (17/67)26% (18/68)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (24/49)51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
11% (1/9)17% (1/6)
Winners
2434
Unforced Errors
5046
Net Points Won
62% (18/29)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
66% (71/107)65% (75/116)
Return Points Won
35% (41/116)34% (36/107)
Total Points Won
50% (112/223)50% (111/223)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
42.2%
Ugo Humbert
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.
  • Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (3.3)

    1.64
    (1.33)
    5%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 30%70%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Humbert (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 28. Humbert is ranked ATP: 20.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert were as follows:
    10.09.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2