Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Humbert: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	7
Double Faults
6	3
1st Serve Percentage
64%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (52/68)	78% (52/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)	51% (25/49)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)	89% (8/9)
1st Return Points Won
25% (17/67)	26% (18/68)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (24/49)	51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
11% (1/9)	17% (1/6)
Winners
24	34
Unforced Errors
50	46
Net Points Won
62% (18/29)	100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
66% (71/107)	65% (75/116)
Return Points Won
35% (41/116)	34% (36/107)
Total Points Won
50% (112/223)	50% (111/223)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	2
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)	94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)	7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)	52% (16/31)

Chances of winning

Alexei Popyrin
42.2%

Ugo Humbert
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (3.3)		1.64 ↑ (1.33)	5% (5.5%)

What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 30% – 70%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Humbert (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 28. Humbert is ranked ATP: 20.
Two players are playing changeable.
Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Alexei Popyrin won against Ugo Humbert?

Alexei Popyrin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ugo Humbert won against Alexei Popyrin?

Ugo Humbert has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert were as follows:

10.09.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert 0:2

Latest results of Alexei Popyrin

22.03.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic 1:2 ✺

24.02.2025 Alexei Popyrin - Hady Habib 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Ugo Humbert

22.03.2025 Joao Fonseca - Ugo Humbert 2:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Kei Nishikori - Ugo Humbert 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Tallon Griekspoor - Ugo Humbert 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Jiri Lehecka - Ugo Humbert 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2

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