Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Humbert – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
64%58%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (52/68)78% (52/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)51% (25/49)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)89% (8/9)
1st Return Points Won
25% (17/67)26% (18/68)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (24/49)51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
11% (1/9)17% (1/6)
Winners
2434
Unforced Errors
5046
Net Points Won
62% (18/29)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
66% (71/107)65% (75/116)
Return Points Won
35% (41/116)34% (36/107)
Total Points Won
50% (112/223)50% (111/223)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
42.2%
Ugo Humbert
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.
  • Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (3.3)

    1.64
    (1.33)
    5%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 30%70%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ugo Humbert will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 28. Humbert is ranked ATP: 20.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert were as follows:
    10.09.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2