Alexey Vatutin vs Carlos Lopez Montagud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/11/2025 at 06:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
77
1st Serve Percentage
60%81%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (31/53)57% (50/88)
2nd Serve Points Won
34% (12/35)35% (7/20)
Break Points Saved
36% (5/14)30% (3/10)
1st Return Points Won
43% (38/88)42% (22/53)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (13/20)66% (23/35)
Break Points Converted
70% (7/10)64% (9/14)
Winners
3522
Unforced Errors
5329
Net Points Won
63% (10/16)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
49% (42/86)53% (57/108)
Return Points Won
47% (51/108)51% (44/86)
Total Points Won
48% (93/194)52% (101/194)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
40% (6/15)53% (8/15)
Return Games Won
47% (7/15)60% (9/15)
Total Games Won
43% (13/30)57% (17/30)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
56.2%
Carlos Lopez Montagud
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Alexey Vatutin - Carlos Lopez Montagud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.7)

    2.11
    (2.01)
    8.3%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 383. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 546.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lopez Montagud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vatutin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0