Alexey Vatutin vs Dmitry Popko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Szczecin Challenger Men Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko
Result
2:1
12/09/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin (Poland), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Sobieraj W. (Pol)

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
65%67%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (47/83)58% (46/80)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (20/44)38% (15/40)
Break Points Saved
65% (15/23)53% (9/17)
1st Return Points Won
43% (34/80)46% (38/83)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (25/40)55% (24/44)
Break Points Converted
47% (8/17)35% (8/23)
Max Points In Row
96
Service Points Won
53% (67/127)51% (61/120)
Return Points Won
49% (59/120)47% (60/127)
Total Points Won
51% (126/247)49% (121/247)
Max Games In Row
64
Service Games Won
53% (9/17)53% (9/17)
Return Games Won
47% (8/17)47% (8/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
29.1%
Dmitry Popko
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
  • Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dmitry Popko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.41)

    1.31
    (1.53)
    8%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 400. Popko is ranked ATP: 180.
    • Recent matches Vatutin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Popko is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Popko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Popko is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Latest results of Dmitry Popko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Seyboth Wild T. (1)Debru G.0 : 2
    2Cachin P.Campana Lee G.0 : 2
    3Novak D.Berkieta T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Molleker R.Ramos A. (6)2 : 0
    5Altmaier D. (4)Michalski D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Andreev A.Gerch L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Rehberg M. H. (Q)Mager G.1 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 0
    9Kopriva V. (5)Moreno De Alboran N.2 : 1
    10Paulson A. (RET.) (Q)Fanselow S. (LL)0 : 1
    11Vatutin A. (Q)Popko D.2 : 1
    12Vrbensky M. (Alt)Munar J. (3)2 : 0
    13Napolitano S. (8)Berrettini J. (Q)1 : 2
    14Barton H. (Q)Choinski J. (SE)1 : 2
    15Arnaboldi F.Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    16Pieczkowski O. (WC)Coria F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Debru G.Campana Lee G.1 : 2
    2Novak D.Molleker R.0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (4)Andreev A.2 : 1
    4Mager G.Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    5Kopriva V. (5)Fanselow S.2 : 0
    6Vatutin A.Vrbensky M.2 : 0
    7Berrettini J.Choinski J.2 : 0
    8Arnaboldi F.Coria F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Campana Lee G.Molleker R.2 : 1
    2Altmaier D. (4)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    3Kopriva V. (5)Vatutin A.2 : 1
    4Berrettini J.Coria F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Campana Lee G.Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Kopriva V. (5)Coria F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Kopriva V. (5)0 : 2