Alexey Vatutin vs Dmitry Popko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Szczecin Challenger Men Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko
Result
2:1
12/09/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin (Poland), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Sobieraj W. (Pol)

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
65%67%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (47/83)58% (46/80)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (20/44)38% (15/40)
Break Points Saved
65% (15/23)53% (9/17)
1st Return Points Won
43% (34/80)46% (38/83)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (25/40)55% (24/44)
Break Points Converted
47% (8/17)35% (8/23)
Max Points In Row
96
Service Points Won
53% (67/127)51% (61/120)
Return Points Won
49% (59/120)47% (60/127)
Total Points Won
51% (126/247)49% (121/247)
Max Games In Row
64
Service Games Won
53% (9/17)53% (9/17)
Return Games Won
47% (8/17)47% (8/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
29.1%
Dmitry Popko
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
  • Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dmitry Popko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.41)

    1.31
    (1.53)
    8%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 400. Popko is ranked ATP: 180.
    • Recent matches Vatutin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Popko is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Popko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Popko is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Latest results of Dmitry Popko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Michalski D.2 : 0
    2Pavlovic L.Dedura D. (NG)0 : 2
    3Kuzmanov D.Wazny A. (WC)2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P. (PR)Monteiro T. (8)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (3)Juszczak D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Gakhov I.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    8Barton H. (Alt)Burruchaga R. A. (6)2 : 1
    9Pellegrino A. (5)Lange M. (WC)2 : 0
    10Rodriguez Taverna S.Molleker R. (Q)1 : 2
    11Blancaneaux G.Bocchi L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Galan D. E. (4)1 : 2
    13Choinski J. (7)Sachko V.1 : 2
    14Pereira T.Paulson A. (RET.) (SE)1 : 0
    15Vrbensky M. (Q)Kovalik J. (Q)0 : 2
    16Vatutin A. (Q)Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Dedura D.2 : 0
    2Kuzmanov D.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    3Passaro F. (3)Squire H.1 : 2
    4Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.2 : 1
    5Pellegrino A. (5)Molleker R.2 : 0
    6Blancaneaux G.Galan D. E. (4)2 : 0
    7Sachko V.Pereira T.2 : 1
    8Kovalik J.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    2Squire H.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (5)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Sachko V.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Llamas Ruiz P.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 1
    2Blancaneaux G.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Llamas Ruiz P.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2