Alexey Vatutin vs Jakub Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Koblenz Challenger Men Alexey Vatutin - Jakub Paul
Result
1:2
31/01/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz (Germany), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
64%67%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (29/46)63% (43/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
37% (25/68)37% (17/46)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (17/33)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
61% (43/71)58% (59/101)
Return Points Won
42% (42/101)39% (28/71)
Total Points Won
49% (85/172)51% (87/172)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
46.1%
Jakub Paul
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexey Vatutin - Jakub Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.84)

    1.73
    (1.84)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexey Vatutin - Jakub Paul?
  • Users Predictions: Jakub Paul will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 324. Paul is ranked ATP: 385.
    • Vatutin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Paul is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Latest results of Jakub Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Squire H. (1)Kuzmanov D. (LL)2 : 1
    2Wiskandt M. (Q)Shelbayh A.0 : 2
    3Ursu V. (Q)Erhard M.0 : 2
    4Zeppieri G.Arnaboldi F. (7)2 : 0
    5Escoffier A. (3)Blancaneaux G.1 : 2
    6Sels J.Nardi L. (Q)0 : 2
    7Engel J. (WC)Brunold M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Negritu Ch. (Q)Nijboer R. (LL)2 : 1
    9Blanchet U. (5)Geerts M.2 : 1
    10Rehberg M. H.Prihodko O. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Dedura-Palomero D. (WC)Broska F. (Q)0 : 2
    12Zapata Miralles B.Martineau M. (4)0 : 2
    13Mager G. (6)Vatutin A. (Alt)0 : 2
    14Gakhov I. (Alt)Schoenhaus M. (WC)2 : 1
    15Vincent Ruggeri S.Masur D.0 : 2
    16Molleker R.Paul J. (LL)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Squire H. (1)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    2Erhard M.Zeppieri G.1 : 2
    3Blancaneaux G.Nardi L.0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (5)Rehberg M. H.2 : 1
    6Broska F.Martineau M. (4)1 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Gakhov I.2 : 1
    8Masur D.Paul J.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Squire H. (1)Zeppieri G.1 : 2
    2Nardi L.Brunold M.2 : 0
    3Blanchet U. (5)Martineau M. (4)2 : 1
    4Vatutin A.Paul J.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zeppieri G.Nardi L.0 : 2
    2Blanchet U. (5)Paul J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Nardi L.Blanchet U. (5)1 : 2