Result
1:2
19/08/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - 1/16-finals
Chances of winning
Alexey Vatutin
65.6% | Lorenzo Carboni
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Alexey Vatutin - Lorenzo Carboni Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.53) |
|
2.73 ↑
(2.38) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Vatutin is ranked ATP: 320. Carboni is ranked ATP: 563.
- Vatutin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carboni's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vatutin might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexey Vatutin won against Lorenzo Carboni?
Alexey Vatutin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Carboni won against Alexey Vatutin?
Lorenzo Carboni has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexey Vatutin - Lorenzo Carboni were as follows:
Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Vatutin A. (1) | Carboni L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Spiridon D. C. | D'Agostino S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ciavarella N. | Bocchi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gerbaud T. | Fonio G. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | Parenti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Oradini G. | Baragiola Mordini T. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Seghetti S. | Kivattsev K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Martin Manzano J. C. | Compagnucci T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Feldbausch K. (5) | Bosio G. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Beraldo L. | Pennaforti G. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Crisostomo G. | Tabacco G. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Tabacco F. | Bertola R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Picchione A. (8) | Ortenzi G. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Forti F. | Perego G. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cadenasso G. | Stella G. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Mencaglia S. | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Carboni L. | Spiridon D. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ciavarella N. | Fonio G. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | Oradini G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Kivattsev K. | Martin Manzano J. C. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Feldbausch K. (5) | Pennaforti G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tabacco G. | Bertola R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Picchione A. (8) | Forti F. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cadenasso G. | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Carboni L. | Fonio G. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | Martin Manzano J. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Feldbausch K. (5) | Bertola R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Forti F. | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | TBD #1 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | |
| 2 | Bertola R. (3) | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | |
Final
