Alexey Vatutin vs Manuel Guinard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Antwerp Alexey Vatutin - Manuel Guinard
Result
2:1
14/10/2024 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Antwerp (Belgium) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Match Stats

Aces
116
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
65%60%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (37/55)69% (41/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (19/30)40% (16/40)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
32% (19/59)35% (19/55)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (24/40)37% (11/30)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)40% (4/10)
Winners
2340
Unforced Errors
2748
Net Points Won
75% (3/4)56% (10/18)
Max Points In Row
97
Service Points Won
65% (53/82)58% (57/98)
Return Points Won
42% (41/98)35% (29/82)
Total Points Won
52% (94/180)48% (86/180)
Max Games In Row
44
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
40.8%
Manuel Guinard
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
  • Manuel Guinard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manuel Guinard's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manuel Guinard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexey Vatutin - Manuel Guinard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.85)

    1.58
    (1.84)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexey Vatutin - Manuel Guinard?
  • Users Predictions: Manuel Guinard will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 352. Guinard is ranked ATP: 287.
    • Vatutin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Guinard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guinard will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Latest results of Manuel Guinard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Bye
    2Koepfer D.Carballes Baena R.0 : 2
    3Vatutin A. (Q)Gaston H.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Bye
    6Collignon R. (WC)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    7Bautista-Agut R.van Assche L. (Q)2 : 0
    8Gasquet R. (WC)Etcheverry T. M. (6)0 : 2
    9Giron M. (8)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Blockx A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Diaz Acosta F.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12ByeBaez S.
    13Lehecka J. (5)Munar J.2 : 0
    14Bailly G. A. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    15Mpetshi Perricard G.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeTsitsipas S. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Carballes Baena R.2 : 1
    2Gaston H.Navone M. (7)2 : 1
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    4Bautista-Agut R.Etcheverry T. M. (6)2 : 0
    5Giron M. (8)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Baez S.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (5)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    8Seyboth Wild T.Tsitsipas S. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Gaston H.1 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    3Giron M. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Lehecka J. (5)Tsitsipas S. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    2Giron M. (8)Lehecka J. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bautista-Agut R.Lehecka J. (5)2 : 0