Alexis Galarneau vs Borna Gojo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
211
Double Faults
84
1st serve percentage
57%67%
1st serve points won
63% (17/27)76% (32/42)
2nd serve points won
45% (9/20)43% (9/21)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
24% (10/42)41% (11/27)
2nd return points won
57% (12/21)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)60% (3/5)
Winners
1022
Unforced errors
2423
Net points won
85% (11/13)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
56% (25/45)65% (41/63)
Return Points Won
35% (22/63)44% (20/45)
Total Points Won
44% (47/108)56% (61/108)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
10
Service games won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Alexis Galarneau
31.2%
Borna Gojo
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Galarneau's form might have worsened.
  • Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borna Gojo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borna Gojo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexis Galarneau - Borna Gojo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.21)

    1.36
    (1.61)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Borna Gojo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gojo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gojo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 1st Set - Galarneau (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Galarneau (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Set - Galarneau (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gojo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Galarneau is ranked ATP: 230. Gojo is ranked ATP: 237.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Gojo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gojo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Gojo will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
    Latest results of Borna Gojo
    20.02.2026 Borna Gojo - Bernard Tomic 2:1
    18.02.2026 Borna Gojo - Ben Jones Jones B. retired
    16.02.2026 Borna Gojo - Facundo Mena 2:1
    08.02.2026 Borna Gojo - Colton Smith 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2