Result
2:1
24/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (42/63) | 73% (46/63) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 46% (16/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/6 | 3/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (17/63) | 33% (21/63) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 36% (13/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/5 | 3/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 36 | 47 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 56% (9/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (65/99) | 63% (62/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (36/98) | 34% (34/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (101/197) | 49% (96/197) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Alexis Galarneau
70.5% | Miguel Tobon
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Alexis Galarneau - Miguel Tobon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.34) |
|
3.17 ↑
(3.07) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Miguel Tobon?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tobon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Galarneau is ranked ATP: 209. Tobon is ranked ATP: 563.
- Recent performances by Galarneau have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tobon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tobon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Galarneau is seen as the favorite.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Miguel Tobon?
Alexis Galarneau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miguel Tobon won against Alexis Galarneau?
Miguel Tobon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexis Galarneau - Miguel Tobon were as follows:
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Latest results of Miguel Tobon
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Huesler M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pacheco Mendez R. (Alt) | Ayeni A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zhukayev B. | Vandecasteele Q. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Krueger M. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Wong C. (4) | Mejia N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kozlov S. | Martin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Polmans M. (Q) | Mena F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Crawford O. | Rodesch C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mochizuki S. (5) | Smith K. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Ficovich J. P. | Alves M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Catry R. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bu Y. (7) | Wiskandt M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Galarneau A. | Tobon M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Magadan A. (WC) | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pavlovic L. | Walton A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Vandecasteele Q. | Gojo B. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mejia N. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Polmans M. | Rodesch C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mochizuki S. (5) | Ficovich J. P. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Andrade A. | Schoolkate T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bu Y. (7) | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Magadan A. | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mejia N. | Rodesch C. (RET.) (6) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Galarneau A. | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Mejia N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ficovich J. P. | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 0 |
