Casalarreina vs Alfaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Casalarreina - Alfaro
Result
1:2
29/03/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 27

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Baztan A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+11', 🟥,
  • 90+11', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Casalarreina
27.1%
Draw
27%
Alfaro
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 26.7% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 26.2% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Casalarreina - Alfaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (3.47)
    3.33
    (3.4)
    1.96
    (1.93)
    11.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Casalarreina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alfaro is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Casalarreina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Alfaro will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casalarreina - Alfaro were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Alfaro - Casalarreina 1:5
    Latest results of Casalarreina
    24.03.2024 Anguiano - Casalarreina 2:1
    17.03.2024 Casalarreina - Arnedo 1:1
    10.03.2024 Alberite - Casalarreina 0:1
    24.02.2024 Oyonesa - Casalarreina 1:1
    Latest results of Alfaro
    17.03.2024 Calahorra B - Alfaro 0:1
    10.03.2024 Alfaro - Tedeón 2:0
    03.03.2024 Peña Balsamaiso - Alfaro 0:4
    25.02.2024 Alfaro - Vianés 4:1
    18.02.2024 Racing Rioja - Alfaro 1:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2