Result
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alfaro
29.6% | Draw
29.8% | Gernika
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Alfaro - Gernika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↓
(3.03) |
2.96 ↓
(3.04) |
2.18 ↓
(2.23) |
13.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gernika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gernika is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Gernika?
Alfaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gernika won against Alfaro?
Gernika has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Gernika were as follows:
28.09.2025
Gernika
-
Alfaro
1:0
12.01.2025
Alfaro
-
Gernika
2:1
01.09.2024
Gernika
-
Alfaro
0:1
01.04.2023
Gernika
-
Alfaro
2:0
20.11.2022
Alfaro
-
Gernika
0:2
Latest results of Gernika
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32:15 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Sestao | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Tudelano | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:22 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 33 |
| 5 | UD Logrones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 37:22 | 15 | 32 |
| 6 | Alaves B | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 32 |
| 7 | Gernika | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Ebro | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Eibar B | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | SD Logrones | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | Mutilvera | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 | Ejea | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 20:30 | -10 | 22 |
| 14 | Naxara | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 20 |
| 15 | Basconia | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 16 | Beasain | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15:35 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
