Result
2:1
12/01/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, Fernandez A. B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alfaro
33.9% | Draw
31.5% | Gernika
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfaro's form might have worsened.Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alfaro - Gernika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.26) |
2.89 ↓
(3.18) |
2.63 ↓
(3.08) |
10%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Alfaro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gernika is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Gernika?
Alfaro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gernika won against Alfaro?
Gernika has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Gernika were as follows:
01.09.2024
Gernika
-
Alfaro
0:1
01.04.2023
Gernika
-
Alfaro
2:0
20.11.2022
Alfaro
-
Gernika
0:2
Latest results of Gernika
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | SD Logrones | CD Estepona | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cacereno | Real Avila | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Baleares | Teruel | 2 : 5, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Numancia | Getafe B | 0 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Union Malacitano | Torrent | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | CF Talavera | Utebo FC | 5 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Eibar B | Sabadell | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | UCAM Murcia | Dep. Fabril | 3 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Sant Andreu | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Real Aviles | Antoniano | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | CD Estepona | Cacereno | 2 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Teruel | Numancia | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Torrent | CF Talavera | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Sabadell | UCAM Murcia | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Rayo Majadahonda | Real Aviles | 0 : 4, 0 : 2 |
