Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Gutierrez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alfaro
29.6% | Draw
32% | Gernika
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Alfaro - Gernika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(3.03) |
2.85 ↓
(3.04) |
2.38 ↑
(2.23) |
9.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alfaro - Gernika?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gernika will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Alfaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Gernika?
Alfaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gernika won against Alfaro?
Gernika has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Gernika were as follows:
28.09.2025
Gernika
-
Alfaro
1:0
12.01.2025
Alfaro
-
Gernika
2:1
01.09.2024
Gernika
-
Alfaro
0:1
01.04.2023
Gernika
-
Alfaro
2:0
20.11.2022
Alfaro
-
Gernika
0:2
Latest results of Gernika
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union ✔ | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 29 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B ✔ | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 40 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 14 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano ✔ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 12 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | -20 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera ✔ | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | -34 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B ✔ | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | -27 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro ✔ | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Alaves B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Tudelano is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Beasain is Relegated to
Mutilvera is Relegated to
Zaragoza B is Relegated to
Alfaro is Relegated to
