Alfaro vs La Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Alfaro - La Calzada
Result
4:1
28/01/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 18

Chances of winning


Alfaro
40.3%
Draw
29.2%
La Calzada
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.5% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 30.8% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Alfaro - La Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.18)
    3.11
    (3.05)
    2.97
    (3.06)
    10.3%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Alfaro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • La Calzada is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alfaro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Latest results of Alfaro
    21.01.2024 Anguiano - Alfaro 1:1
    14.01.2024 Alfaro - Arnedo 2:1
    07.01.2024 Alberite - Alfaro 2:5
    03.12.2023 Oyonesa - Alfaro 2:3
    Latest results of La Calzada
    21.01.2024 River Ebro - La Calzada 1:3
    14.01.2024 La Calzada - Anguiano 1:1
    07.01.2024 La Calzada - Calahorra B 3:1
    16.12.2023 Arnedo - La Calzada 0:4
    03.12.2023 La Calzada - Tedeón 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2