Result
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Buxton
58.5% | Draw
22.9% | Alfreton Town
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Buxton - Alfreton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.7) |
4.01 ↓
(4.06) |
5.05 ↑
(4.14) |
7.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1.
- Buxton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Alfreton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Buxton is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Buxton will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Alfreton Town?
Buxton has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Buxton?
Alfreton Town has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Buxton - Alfreton Town were as follows:
21.04.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Buxton
3:2
26.12.2024
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
3:2
01.01.2024
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
1:2
26.12.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Buxton
2:1
01.01.2023
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
0:0
Latest results of Alfreton Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 26:5 | 21 | 32 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33:16 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Scarborough | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 4 | 26 |
| 4 | Radcliffe | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 30:15 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Spennymoor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:21 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Chorley | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Buxton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Macclesfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Worksop | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Chester | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Hereford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 14 |
| 17 | Darlington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
| 18 | AFC Telford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Bedford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 20 | Leamington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Alfreton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Oxford City | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
