Buxton vs Alfreton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League North Buxton - Alfreton Town
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Buxton
58.5%
Draw
22.9%
Alfreton Town
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 22.9% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 22.1% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Buxton - Alfreton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.7)
    4.01
    (4.06)
    5.05
    (4.14)
    7.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1.
    • Buxton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Alfreton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Buxton is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Buxton will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Buxton - Alfreton Town were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Alfreton Town - Buxton 3:2
    26.12.2024 Buxton - Alfreton Town 3:2
    01.01.2024 Buxton - Alfreton Town 1:2
    26.12.2023 Alfreton Town - Buxton 2:1
    01.01.2023 Buxton - Alfreton Town 0:0
    Latest results of Buxton
    18.10.2025 Buxton - Chorley 3:2
    11.10.2025 Runcorn Linnets - Buxton 0:1
    04.10.2025 Buxton - Darlington 1:0
    27.09.2025 Marine - Buxton 2:3
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields12102026:52132
    2AFC Fylde1392233:161729
    3Scarborough1382322:18426
    4Radcliffe1381430:151525
    5Spennymoor1272322:21123
    6Chorley1363428:20821
    7Buxton1262420:18220
    8Kidderminster1355316:17-120
    9Macclesfield1253417:16118
    10Curzon Ashton1244419:17216
    11Merthyr Town1251621:25-416
    12Marine1251613:21-816
    13Worksop1343618:22-415
    14Chester1236316:20-415
    15Hereford1243514:18-415
    16Kingu2019s Lynn1235420:16414
    17Darlington1234518:18013
    18AFC Telford1234518:19-113
    19Bedford1234515:18-313
    20Leamington1333710:17-712
    21Alfreton122469:22-1310
    22Oxford City1322919:25-68
    23Southport1122710:18-88
    24Peterborough Sports1122710:22-128

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation