Result
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 31
Chances of winning
Alfreton Town
24.4% | Draw
24.7% | Buxton
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alfreton Town - Buxton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(2.82) |
3.73 ↑
(3.57) |
1.83 ↓
(2.26) |
8.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Buxton might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Buxton?
Alfreton Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Alfreton Town?
Buxton has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Buxton were as follows:
25.10.2025
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
6:0
21.04.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Buxton
3:2
26.12.2024
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
3:2
01.01.2024
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
1:2
26.12.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Buxton
2:1
Latest results of Alfreton Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
