Result
2:2
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 40', 1 - 0, Lund A. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Johnston J. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Burton K. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 2, Brennan L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alfreton Town 23.4% | Draw 24.7% | Buxton 51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alfreton Town - Buxton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.94 ↑ (2.82) |
3.77 ↑ (3.57) |
1.79 ↓ (2.26) |
7.7% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town - Buxton?
Users Predictions:
Buxton will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Buxton might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Buxton?
Alfreton Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Alfreton Town?
Buxton has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Buxton were as follows:
25.10.2025
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
6:0
21.04.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Buxton
3:2
26.12.2024
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
3:2
01.01.2024
Buxton
-
Alfreton Town
1:2
26.12.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Buxton
2:1
Latest results of Alfreton Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |