Alfreton Town vs Buxton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Lund A. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Johnston J. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Burton K. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 2, Brennan L. ,

Chances of winning


Alfreton Town
23.4%
Draw
24.7%
Buxton
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 26% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 24.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.
  • Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alfreton Town - Buxton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.94
    (2.82)
    3.77
    (3.57)
    1.79
    (2.26)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Alfreton Town - Buxton?
  • Users Predictions: Buxton will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Buxton might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Buxton were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Buxton - Alfreton Town 6:0
    21.04.2025 Alfreton Town - Buxton 3:2
    26.12.2024 Buxton - Alfreton Town 3:2
    01.01.2024 Buxton - Alfreton Town 1:2
    26.12.2023 Alfreton Town - Buxton 2:1
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    Latest results of Buxton
    06.04.2026 Worksop Town - Buxton 1:2
    03.04.2026 Buxton - Macclesfield Town 2:4
    28.03.2026 Hereford - Buxton 0:2
    21.03.2026 Buxton - Bedford Town 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)