Chester vs Alfreton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Ayres J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Shrimpton F. ,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Woods C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Cummings J. ,

Chances of winning


Chester
48.2%
Draw
27.2%
Alfreton Town
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 24.3% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.
  • Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chester - Alfreton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.66)
    3.4
    (3.66)
    3.77
    (4.59)
    8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chester - Alfreton Town?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chester will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chester has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chester is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chester won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Alfreton Town were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Alfreton Town - Chester 0:2
    18.01.2025 Chester - Alfreton Town 2:0
    24.08.2024 Alfreton Town - Chester 2:2
    01.04.2024 Chester - Alfreton Town 0:2
    21.11.2023 Alfreton Town - Chester 1:1
    Latest results of Chester
    07.02.2026 Bedford Town - Chester 1:2
    31.01.2026 Chester - Radcliffe 1:3
    27.01.2026 Marine - Chester 2:1
    20.01.2026 Spennymoor Town - Chester 1:2
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)