Result
1:0
31/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Cummings J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Alfreton Town
29.9% | Draw
27.6% | Chorley
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chorley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alfreton Town - Chorley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↓
(3.65) |
3.36 ↓
(3.59) |
2.17 ↑
(1.91) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town - Chorley?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3.
- Alfreton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chorley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Chorley?
Alfreton Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Alfreton Town?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Chorley were as follows:
04.11.2025
Chorley
-
Alfreton Town
0:1
22.03.2025
Chorley
-
Alfreton Town
2:0
19.10.2024
Alfreton Town
-
Chorley
1:0
30.01.2024
Chorley
-
Alfreton Town
3:2
06.01.2024
Alfreton Town
-
Chorley
2:0
Latest results of Alfreton Town
Latest results of Chorley
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
