Chorley vs Alfreton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League North Chorley - Alfreton Town
Result
2:0
22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: National League North - Round 40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Calveley M. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Calveley M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Chorley
47.4%
Draw
26.8%
Alfreton Town
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 22.1% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 19.5% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.
  • Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chorley - Alfreton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.53)
    3.43
    (4.16)
    3.56
    (5.19)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 2.
    • Recent matches Chorley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alfreton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Alfreton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.
    • Chorley will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Chorley won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Alfreton Town were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Alfreton Town - Chorley 1:0
    30.01.2024 Chorley - Alfreton Town 3:2
    06.01.2024 Alfreton Town - Chorley 2:0
    14.01.2023 Chorley - Alfreton Town 0:0
    29.08.2022 Alfreton Town - Chorley 0:2
    Latest results of Chorley
    15.03.2025 Needham Market - Chorley 2:1
    11.03.2025 Curzon Ashton - Chorley 3:0
    08.03.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:2
    01.03.2025 Leamington - Chorley 3:2
    25.02.2025 Chorley - Farsley 4:0
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Scunthorpe (2)Bye
    2Chorley (5)Kingu2019s Lynn (6)1 : 0
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Chester (4)Buxton (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Scunthorpe (2)Chorley (5)4 : 2
    2Kidderminster (3)Chester (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Scunthorpe (2)Chester (4)2 : 1