Result
31/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 29
Chances of winning
Alfreton Town
33.3% | Draw
26.6% | Chorley
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfreton Town's performance.Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chorley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alfreton Town - Chorley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(3.65) |
3.48 ↓
(3.59) |
2.3 ↑
(1.91) |
8.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town - Chorley?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3.
- Alfreton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chorley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Chorley?
Alfreton Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Alfreton Town?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Chorley were as follows:
04.11.2025
Chorley
-
Alfreton Town
0:1
22.03.2025
Chorley
-
Alfreton Town
2:0
19.10.2024
Alfreton Town
-
Chorley
1:0
30.01.2024
Chorley
-
Alfreton Town
3:2
06.01.2024
Alfreton Town
-
Chorley
2:0
Latest results of Alfreton Town
Latest results of Chorley
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 39 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 94:42 | 52 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 85:36 | 49 | 84 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | Merthyr Town | 40 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 87:73 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 71:53 | 18 | 65 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55:47 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 40 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Buxton | 39 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 65:53 | 12 | 57 |
| 10 | Chester | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 58:62 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 12 | Marine | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Spennymoor | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:63 | -11 | 54 |
| 14 | Southport | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 55:61 | -6 | 51 |
| 15 | Chorley | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 60:59 | 1 | 49 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Worksop | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 46 |
| 19 | Bedford | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 56:70 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 49:59 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Hereford | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 48:63 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:67 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 43:75 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Leamington | 39 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28:70 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
