Result
Postponed
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 25
Chances of winning
Alfreton Town
38.2% | Draw
27.1% | Hereford
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hereford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hereford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alfreton Town - Hereford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.72) |
3.33 ↓
(3.64) |
2.63 ↑
(2.3) |
10.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1.
- Alfreton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hereford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Hereford?
Alfreton Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hereford won against Alfreton Town?
Hereford has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Hereford were as follows:
30.08.2025
Hereford
-
Alfreton Town
2:0
22.02.2025
Hereford
-
Alfreton Town
2:0
05.10.2024
Alfreton Town
-
Hereford
0:0
12.03.2024
Hereford
-
Alfreton Town
3:3
24.10.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Hereford
3:1
Latest results of Alfreton Town
Latest results of Hereford
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 76:29 | 47 | 77 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:37 | 46 | 75 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 5 | Darlington | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 65:49 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 58:47 | 11 | 55 |
| 7 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | AFC Telford | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 68:48 | 20 | 53 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:56 | -26 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 29 |
| 24 | Leamington | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:60 | -35 | 22 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
