Result
2:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 5
- Referee: Acevedo A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | DAZN 3, DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (122/195) | 80% (306/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 4.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (122/195) | 80% (306/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 19% (9/48) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.73 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 1 - 0, Asenjo M. G. ⚽, Isina (A),
- 36', Amoh N. 🟨,
- 42', Amoh N. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Martinez B. ⚽,
- 45+7', 1 - 2, Yiyi ⚽, Martinez B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rebeca ↓, Partido P. ↑,
- 46', Valderas L. ↓, Yeboah C. ↑,
- 60', Yannel ↓, Castineyras C. ↑,
- 69', Martinez N. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, Partido P. ⚽, Isina (A),
- 76', 2 - 3, Yiyi ⚽, Gestera M. (A),
- 78', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Encarni ↑,
- 83', 2 - 4, Pinel R. ⚽,
- 86', Leitner A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 86', Falfan D. ↓, Congo A. ↑,
- 90+4', Pinel R. ↓, Estefa ↑,
- 90+4', Martinez B. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
- 90+11', Quintero A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
DUX Logroño
42.7% | Draw
28.8% | Alhama
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
DUX Logroño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DUX Logroño's performance.Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alhama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for DUX Logroño than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DUX Logroño that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alhama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
DUX Logroño - Alhama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.63) |
3.21 ↑
(2.93) |
3.24 ↑
(2.58) |
8.1%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for DUX Logroño - Alhama?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. DUX Logroño (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
DUX Logroño will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- DUX Logroño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, DUX Logroño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, DUX Logroño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has DUX Logroño won against Alhama?
DUX Logroño has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alhama won against DUX Logroño?
Alhama has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between DUX Logroño - Alhama were as follows:
30.03.2025
DUX Logroño
-
Alhama
2:0
12.10.2024
Alhama
-
DUX Logroño
1:1
14.01.2024
Alhama
-
DUX Logroño
2:1
Latest results of DUX Logroño
