Alhaurino vs Torreperogil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Alhaurino
51.6%
Draw
27.9%
Torreperogil
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 27.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 23.3% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Torreperogil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alhaurino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreperogil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alhaurino - Torreperogil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.79)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    4.47
    (4.12)
    9.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent form of Alhaurino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Torreperogil has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Alhaurino is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 5:0.5).
    Latest results of Alhaurino
    23.11.2025 Alhaurino - Torre Del Mar 1:1
    16.11.2025 El Palo - Alhaurino 2:1
    09.11.2025 Alhaurino - UD San Pedro 0:2
    02.11.2025 Motril - Alhaurino 2:0
    Latest results of Torreperogil
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril301610450:262458
    2Mijas Las Lagunas30168634:191556
    3Arenas Armilla30149734:231151
    4Torre del Mar301312533:211251
    5Churriana de la Vega30129928:35-745
    6Marbelli301281031:25644
    7Torredonjimeno301111836:34244
    8Huetor Vega301181137:36141
    9Atletico de Porcuna301241435:33240
    10Granada CF B30912940:38239
    11UD San Pedro301091131:33-239
    12CD Alhaurino30991235:38-336
    13Melilla B308111123:24-135
    14Huetor Tajar308101236:39-334
    15Martos308101230:37-734
    16Mancha30881424:32-832
    17CD Torreperogil30761720:40-2027
    18El Palo30581724:48-2423

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