Aliaga vs Aksaray Belediyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Yildirim O. , Karahan B. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Ozek A. , Yidirim O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+2', Cetin V. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Yildirim O. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Paykoc K. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Aliaga
64.2%
Draw
22.3%
Aksaray Belediyespor
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 24.2% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 23% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Aksaray Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.44)
    4.06
    (3.74)
    6.72
    (6.95)
    10.3%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aliaga will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aliaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aksaray Belediyespor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aksaray Belediyespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aliaga is the obvious favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aliaga
    12.12.2025 Menemenspor - Aliaga 2:1
    07.12.2025 Aliaga - Kırklarelispor 3:0
    03.12.2025 Sivasspor - Aliaga 1:3
    29.11.2025 Isparta 32 Spor - Aliaga 1:1
    08.11.2025 Aliaga - Adanaspor 7:1
    Latest results of Aksaray Belediyespor
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bursaspor28204471:175464
    2Aliaga28185564:194559
    3K. u0130stiklalspor28184671:234858
    4Mardin 196928184659:203958
    5Musspor28166662:313154
    6Guzide Gebzespor28159450:203054
    7Isparta 32 Spor28139654:312348
    8Ankara Demirspor281351041:38344
    9Menemenspor281261046:361042
    10Aksaray Bld281011746:321441
    11Trabzon FK281081041:41038
    12Fethiyespor28981146:341235
    13Arnavutkoy Bl28871329:34-531
    14Kirklarelispor28691334:43-927
    15Soma Spor28751634:56-2226
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu28532025:79-5415
    17Adanaspor AS ✔ 28112610:141-1314
    18Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 2802268:96-88-43

          Promotion ~ 1. Lig
          Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
    Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to