Aliaga vs Aksaray Belediyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Yildirim O. , Karahan B. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Ozek A. , Yidirim O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+2', Cetin V. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Yildirim O. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Paykoc K. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Aliaga
64.2%
Draw
22.3%
Aksaray Belediyespor
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 24.2% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 23% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Aksaray Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.44)
    4.06
    (3.74)
    6.72
    (6.95)
    10.3%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aliaga will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aliaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aksaray Belediyespor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aksaray Belediyespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aliaga is the obvious favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aliaga
    12.12.2025 Menemenspor - Aliaga 2:1
    07.12.2025 Aliaga - Kırklarelispor 3:0
    03.12.2025 Sivasspor - Aliaga 1:3
    29.11.2025 Isparta 32 Spor - Aliaga 1:1
    08.11.2025 Aliaga - Adanaspor 7:1
    Latest results of Aksaray Belediyespor
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bursaspor32235477:185974
    2Aliaga32215680:265468
    3Mardin 1969 ✔ 32214765:244167
    4Musspor32206675:344166
    5K. u0130stiklalspor32194977:314661
    6Isparta 32 Spor31169664:343057
    7Guzide Gebzespor32169753:272657
    8Ankara Demirspor321461245:43248
    9Menemenspor321361349:47245
    10Trabzon FK321281248:45344
    11Aksaray Bld321013948:371143
    12Fethiyespor321191251:401142
    13Arnavutkoy Bl311071434:36-237
    14Kirklarelispor31791537:47-1030
    15Soma Spor32861838:60-2230
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu ✔ 30432322:88-6612
    17Adanaspor AS ✔ 31212814:152-1381
    18Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 3002288:102-94-43

          Promotion ~ 1. Lig
          Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mardin 1969 is Qualified for 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs )
    Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is Relegated to
    Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
    Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to