Result
05/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Chances of winning
Aliaga
19.5% | Draw
23% | Gençlerbirliği
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gençlerbirliği might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Aliaga - Gençlerbirliği Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↓
(7.21) |
4.03 ↓
(4.97) |
1.65 ↑
(1.34) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aliaga - Gençlerbirliği?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Aliaga (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Aliaga (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Aliaga (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Aliaga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gençlerbirliği has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aliaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gençlerbirliği is the undeniable favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Aliaga won against Gençlerbirliği?
Aliaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Aliaga?
Gençlerbirliği has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aliaga - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrumspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Turkish Cup (Play Offs )
