Aliaga vs Serik Belediyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
28/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Gumus Y. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Ozcan S. ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Yilmaz I. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 71', 2 - 2, Yukseloglu H. ,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Saymak M. ,
  • 80', 4 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Aliaga
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Serik Belediyespor
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 28.2% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 26.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.
  • Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serik Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-24.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serik Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aliaga - Serik Belediyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.79)
    4.32
    (3.23)
    6.01
    (2.33)
    -1.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aliaga - Serik Belediyespor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Aliaga (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Aliaga (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Aliaga (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Aliaga will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aliaga will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aliaga has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Serik Belediyespor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Aliaga
    19.10.2025 1461 Trabzon - Aliaga 0:3
    05.10.2025 Muş Spor - Aliaga 2:2
    28.09.2025 Somaspor - Aliaga 0:3
    21.09.2025 Aliaga - Ankara Demirspor 2:0
    Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray33006:249
    2Alanyaspor32107:257
    3Trabzonspor32019:276
    4Basaksehir32016:336
    5Karagumruk41215:6-15
    6Boluspor40221:6-52
    7Istanbulspor AS40222:9-72
    8Fethiyespor40131:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas32106:247
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Rizespor31116:514
    5Kocaelispor31114:314
    6Erzurumspor31024:6-23
    7Keciorengucu31024:9-53
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi30122:5-31


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Genclerbirligi32106:427
    2Trabzonspor32019:276
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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