Aliaga vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Karaahmet M. , Kartal E. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Kavaklidere H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 3 - 0, Acikgoz M. ,

Chances of winning


Aliaga
78.4%
Draw
14.3%
Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 20% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 19.1% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.
  • Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aliaga - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.37)
    6.48
    (4.5)
    12.63
    (6.3)
    8.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Aliaga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • İdman Yurdu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aliaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aliaga has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Aliaga is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aliaga
    19.10.2025 1461 Trabzon - Aliaga 0:3
    05.10.2025 Muş Spor - Aliaga 2:2
    28.09.2025 Somaspor - Aliaga 0:3
    21.09.2025 Aliaga - Ankara Demirspor 2:0
    13.09.2025 Mardin 1969 - Aliaga 1:0
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bursaspor28204471:175464
    2Aliaga28185564:194559
    3K. u0130stiklalspor28184671:234858
    4Mardin 196928184659:203958
    5Musspor28166662:313154
    6Guzide Gebzespor28159450:203054
    7Isparta 32 Spor28139654:312348
    8Ankara Demirspor281351041:38344
    9Menemenspor281261046:361042
    10Aksaray Bld281011746:321441
    11Trabzon FK281081041:41038
    12Fethiyespor28981146:341235
    13Arnavutkoy Bl28871329:34-531
    14Kirklarelispor28691334:43-927
    15Soma Spor28751634:56-2226
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu28532025:79-5415
    17Adanaspor AS ✔ 28112610:141-1314
    18Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 2802268:96-88-43

          Promotion ~ 1. Lig
          Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
    Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to