Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Mateas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Hertogenbosch Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Mateas
Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
66%74%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (37/55)54% (40/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (14/28)31% (8/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)47% (7/15)
1st Return Points Won
46% (34/74)33% (18/55)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (18/26)50% (14/28)
Break Points Converted
53% (8/15)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
61% (51/83)48% (48/100)
Return Points Won
52% (52/100)39% (32/83)
Total Points Won
56% (103/183)44% (80/183)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)38% (5/13)
Return Games Won
62% (8/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
69% (18/26)31% (8/26)

Chances of winning


Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80.1%
Maria Mateas
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.
  • Maria Mateas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Mateas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-27.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Mateas than the current prediction. (+27.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Mateas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Mateas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.85)

    5.37
    (1.87)
    -6.4%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 105. Mateas is ranked WTA: 213.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mateas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Aliaksandra Sasnovich
    Latest results of Maria Mateas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Samsonova L. (1)Branstine C. (Q)1 : 2
    2Van den Broek I. L. (Q)Ruse G. (Q)0 : 2
    3Garland J. (Q)Andreescu B. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vrancken Peeters A. (WC)Sun L. (7)0 : 2
    5Linette M. (4)Pera B.1 : 2
    6Hartono A. (WC)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    7Wickmayer Y. (Q)Lamens S.1 : 2
    8Li A.Potapova A. (5)2 : 0
    9Wang Xin. (6)Birrell K.1 : 2
    10Sevastova A.Yuan Y. (LL)0 : 2
    11Koevermans A. (WC)Sakkari M.0 : 2
    12Tomova V.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2
    13Kudermetova V. (8)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    14Collins D.Minnen G.1 : 2
    15Siniakova K.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    16Bolkvadze M. (Q)Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Branstine C.Ruse G.0 : 2
    2Andreescu B.Sun L. (7)2 : 0
    3Pera B.Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    4Lamens S.Li A.2 : 0
    5Birrell K.Yuan Y.0 : 2
    6Sakkari M.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2
    7Kudermetova V. (8)Minnen G.2 : 0
    8Blinkova A.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruse G.Andreescu B.2 : 0
    2Cocciaretto E.Lamens S.2 : 0
    3Yuan Y.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (8)Alexandrova E. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ruse G.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
    2Mertens E. (3)Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Ruse G.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2