ADT Tarma vs Alianza Atlético – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético
26/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
58%
Draw
23.5%
Alianza Atlético
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 24.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 22.6% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.
  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Atlético might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.79)
    3.88
    (3.7)
    4.92
    (3.55)
    6.7%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, ADT is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 2:0
    28.09.2024 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 0:1
    28.04.2024 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 1:2
    24.09.2023 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    06.05.2023 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 1:1
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    22.09.2025 Cusco - ADT Tarma 0:2
    16.09.2025 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 3:1
    31.08.2025 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 2:0
    24.08.2025 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 2:2
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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