Result
3:2
22/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/417) | 63% (122/194) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/417) | 63% (122/194) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (35/61) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 48% (32/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 1 - 0, Benites Vargas L. E. ⚽, Noronha O. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Perleche E. ⚽, Villegas J. C. (A),
- 41', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 41', Graneros A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Graneros A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 59', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 62', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 62', Ortiz J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 68', Noronha O. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
- 68', Da Silva B. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
- 71', Olmedo L. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 72', Perez J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 76', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
- 78', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, La Torre D. ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 2, Estrada J. ⚽, Ascues A. (A),
- 90+2', Benincasa H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
- 90+3', Vasquez C. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
61% | Draw
24.6% | Alianza Atlético
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Cienciano - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.6) |
3.75 ↓
(3.95) |
6.49 ↑
(5.25) |
7.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
Cienciano will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3.
- Cienciano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Atlético is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Cienciano is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Garces C.
(Knee Injury)
Ortiz D.
(Face Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:3. (average 2.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Alianza Atlético?
Cienciano has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cienciano?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
23.10.2024
Cienciano
-
Alianza Atlético
3:0
13.05.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cienciano
0:1
06.08.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Cienciano
2:1
10.05.2023
Cienciano
-
Alianza Atlético
5:2
28.08.2022
Alianza Atlético
-
Cienciano
1:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Grau | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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