Result
3:2
22/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
68% | 32% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (337/417) | 63% (122/194) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 0.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.46 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (337/417) | 63% (122/194) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (35/61) | 29% (18/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (88/131) | 48% (32/66) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (6/23) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
30 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (3/3) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 27 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.90 | 1.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.09 | -1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 1 - 0, Benites Vargas L. E. ⚽, Noronha O. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Perleche E. ⚽, Villegas J. C. (A),
- 41', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 41', Graneros A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Graneros A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 59', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 62', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 62', Ortiz J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 68', Noronha O. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
- 68', Da Silva B. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
- 71', Olmedo L. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 72', Perez J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 76', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
- 78', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, La Torre D. ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 2, Estrada J. ⚽, Ascues A. (A),
- 90+2', Benincasa H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
- 90+3', Vasquez C. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano 61% | Draw 24.6% | Alianza Atlético 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Cienciano - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.6) |
3.75 ↓ (3.95) |
6.49 ↑ (5.25) |
7.7% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
Cienciano will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3.
- Cienciano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Atlético is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Cienciano is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Garces C.
(Knee Injury)
Ortiz D.
(Face Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:3. (average 2.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Alianza Atlético?
Cienciano has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cienciano?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
23.10.2024
Cienciano
-
Alianza Atlético
3:0
13.05.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cienciano
0:1
06.08.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Cienciano
2:1
10.05.2023
Cienciano
-
Alianza Atlético
5:2
28.08.2022
Alianza Atlético
-
Cienciano
1:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
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