Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atlético – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético
Result
0:0
17/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.50
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
83% (379/459)58% (118/204)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.06
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
911
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
128
Passes
83% (379/459)58% (118/204)
Long passes
50% (26/52)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
73% (111/153)49% (28/57)
Crosses
16% (8/49)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.37
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
812
Tackles
61% (11/18)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6956
Clearances
2547
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.35
Goals prevented
0.060.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Gonzales C. , Tavara M. ,
  • 35', Gordillo A. , Cossio A. ,
  • 45', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Avila I. , Felipe Vizeu ,
  • 46', Castro M. , Pacheco F. ,
  • 52', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
  • 66', Olmedo L. , Diaz R. ,
  • 66', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Perez J. ,
  • 66', Benincasa H. , Vasquez C. ,
  • 66', Sosa L. , Benavente C. ,
  • 66', Pasquini N. , Lora J. ,
  • 73', Lora J. 🟨,
  • 80', Ysique F. , Illanes F. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
60.4%
Draw
24.1%
Alianza Atlético
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.2% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 18.4% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.36)
    3.76
    (4.9)
    5.9
    (8.2)
    5.2%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sporting Cristal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza Atlético's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Araujo M. (Red Card) Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Perleche E. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:10. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 3.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    19.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:0
    11.06.2023 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3AD Tarma1363417:17021
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    9Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    10Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    11Cienciano1143416:15115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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