Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atlético – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.571.13
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
97
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
23
Passes
90% (477/530)77% (195/252)
Yellow cards
25
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.571.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.770.74
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
1113
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
55
Free kicks
156
Passes
90% (477/530)77% (195/252)
Long passes
65% (30/46)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
75% (69/92)61% (45/74)
Crosses
33% (4/12)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.58
Throw ins
1816
Fouls
615
Tackles
89% (8/9)80% (4/5)
Duels won
4726
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
66
xGOT faced
0.742.77
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Iberico L. , Sosa L. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Avila I. , Wisdom I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Robaldo V. , Larios Saavedra G. A. ,
  • 46', Valladolid C. , Coronel F. ,
  • 54', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
  • 57', Yotun Y. 🟨,
  • 57', Suarez R. 🟨,
  • 58', Diaz G. , Lujan J. ,
  • 67', Fernandez S. , Lupu H. ,
  • 72', Gonzales C. , Benavente C. ,
  • 73', Yotun Y. , Tavara M. ,
  • 79', Penilla C. , Perez J. ,
  • 81', Avila I. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 81', Diaz L. , Posito Olazabal A. J. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Coronel F. , Munoz A. (A),
  • 85', Cazonatti G. , Gabriel ,
  • 89', Suarez R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Wisdom I. ,
  • 90+9', Tavara M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
52.1%
Draw
27.7%
Alianza Atlético
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 21.8% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 21.4% 12.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.43)
    3.36
    (4.29)
    4.58
    (7.19)
    7.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Abram L. (Muscle Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:10. (average 2.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 0:0
    19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    19.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:0
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

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