Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atlético – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.50
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
83% (379/459)58% (118/204)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.06
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
911
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
128
Passes
83% (379/459)58% (118/204)
Long passes
50% (26/52)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
73% (111/153)49% (28/57)
Crosses
16% (8/49)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.37
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
812
Tackles
61% (11/18)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6956
Clearances
2547
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.35
Goals prevented
0.060.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Gonzales C. , Tavara M. ,
  • 35', Gordillo A. , Cossio A. ,
  • 45', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Avila I. , Felipe Vizeu ,
  • 46', Castro M. , Pacheco F. ,
  • 52', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
  • 66', Olmedo L. , Diaz R. ,
  • 66', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Perez J. ,
  • 66', Benincasa H. , Vasquez C. ,
  • 66', Sosa L. , Benavente C. ,
  • 66', Pasquini N. , Lora J. ,
  • 73', Lora J. 🟨,
  • 80', Ysique F. , Illanes F. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
60.4%
Draw
24.1%
Alianza Atlético
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.2% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 18.4% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.36)
    3.87
    (4.9)
    6.08
    (8.2)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Cristal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sporting Cristal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza Atlético's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Araujo M. (Red Card) Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Perleche E. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:10. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 3.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    19.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:0
    11.06.2023 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cajamarca43108:4410
    2Alianza Lima43105:2310
    3FBC Melgar43019:459
    4U. de Deportes42207:438
    5Los Chankas42206:428
    6Sporting Cristal41216:515
    7FC Cajamarca41217:705
    8Deportivo Garcilaso41213:305
    9Alianza Atl41212:205
    10Cienciano41128:624
    11Sport Huancayo41125:504
    12Cusco41124:404
    13Sport Boys41122:3-14
    14Comerciantes Unidos41124:6-24
    15AD Tarma41123:5-24
    16Juan Pablo II41126:12-64
    17Moquegua41033:8-53
    18Grau40131:5-41

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )