Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atlético – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima).

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.13
Ball possession
67%	33%
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
9	7
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
2	3
Passes
90% (477/530)	77% (195/252)
Yellow cards
2	5
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.77	0.74
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
9	7
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked shots
5	5
Shots inside the box
11	13
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
22	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	5
Free kicks
15	6
Passes
90% (477/530)	77% (195/252)
Long passes
65% (30/46)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
75% (69/92)	61% (45/74)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.58
Throw ins
18	16
Fouls
6	15
Tackles
89% (8/9)	80% (4/5)
Duels won
47	26
Clearances
28	15
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	6
xGOT faced
0.74	2.77
Goals prevented
-0.26	-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽, Sosa L. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Avila I. ⚽, Wisdom I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Robaldo V. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
46', Valladolid C. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
54', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
57', Yotun Y. 🟨,
57', Suarez R. 🟨,
58', Diaz G. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
67', Fernandez S. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
72', Gonzales C. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
73', Yotun Y. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
79', Penilla C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
81', Avila I. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
81', Diaz L. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Coronel F. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
85', Cazonatti G. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
89', Suarez R. 🟨,
90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Wisdom I. ⚽,
90+9', Tavara M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sporting Cristal
52.1%

Draw
27.7%

Alianza Atlético
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.43)	3.36 ↓ (4.29)	4.58 ↓ (7.19)	7.8% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sporting Cristal is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Abram L. (Muscle Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:10. (average 2.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Alianza Atlético?

Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Sporting Cristal?

Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético were as follows:

17.09.2025 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 0:0

19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0

19.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0

05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 2:1

29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:0

Latest results of Sporting Cristal

04.03.2026 Carabobo - Sporting Cristal 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal 2:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Sporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes 2:2 ✺

17.02.2026 2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Atlético

03.03.2026 Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 0:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Cienciano - Alianza Atlético 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético 1:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	12	9	2	1	22:5	17	29
2	Los Chankas	12	9	2	1	21:14	7	29
3	Cienciano	12	7	2	3	26:16	10	23
4	U. de Deportes	12	6	3	3	18:12	6	21
5	Comerciantes Unidos	12	5	4	3	17:15	2	19
6	Cusco	12	6	1	5	15:19	-4	19
7	FBC Melgar	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17
8	Cajamarca	12	4	4	4	18:18	0	16
9	Moquegua	12	5	1	6	14:18	-4	16
10	Juan Pablo II	12	4	3	5	18:27	-9	15
11	Sporting Cristal	12	4	2	6	20:20	0	14
12	Alianza Atl	12	3	5	4	11:11	0	14
13	AD Tarma	12	3	4	5	15:15	0	13
14	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	3	4	5	12:16	-4	13
15	Sport Huancayo	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
16	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	11:16	-5	12
17	Grau	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
18	FC Cajamarca	12	1	3	8	13:22	-9	6

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