Result
2:2 penalties
25/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Germany | Sportdigital+ |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN South |
Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Disney+, Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.56 | 0.23 |
Ball Possession |
---|
79% | 21% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
25 | 6 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
11 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 9 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 16 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
30 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (489/560) | 70% (112/160) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
77% (152/197) | 49% (22/45) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (11/48) | 50% (1/2) |
Tackles |
---|
78% (18/23) | 90% (9/10) |
Clearances Total |
---|
14 | 60 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Trauco M. (Own goal),
- 14', Noriega E. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Ceppelini P. (A),
- 34', Ceppelini P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Quevedo K. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Zenon K. ⚽,
- 62', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
- 63', Gaibor F. 🟨,
- 63', Garces R. 🟨,
- 64', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟨,
- 64', Saracchi M. 🟨,
- 75', Saracchi M. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
- 75', Herrera A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 78', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 78', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 78', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 90+1', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 90+3', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 90+9', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
- 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
- 2, Gaibor F. (Pen),
- 2, Cavani E. (Pen),
- 3, Trauco M. (Pen),
- 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
- 4, Noriega E. (Pen),
- 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
- 5, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Pen),
- 5, Velasco A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors 68.7% | Draw 20.5% | Alianza Lima 10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1%)
Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↑ (1.33) |
4.56 ↓ (4.8) |
8.75 ↑ (8.5) |
6.1% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
- Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games.
- In this match Boca Juniors is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Alianza Lima?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Boca Juniors?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.02.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)