Result
 
                    2:2 penalties
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/02/2025 at  19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe | 
|  Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD | 
|  Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 | 
|  Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping | 
|  Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports | 
|  Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium | 
|  Colombia | Disney+, ESPN | 
|  Georgia | Silk Universal | 
|  Germany | Sportdigital+ | 
|  Indonesia | Mola TV | 
|  Israel | Sport 4 | 
|  Italy | Como TV | 
|  Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 | 
|  Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 | 
|  North-central-america | ESPN 3 North | 
|  Peru | Disney+, ESPN | 
|  Portugal | Sport TV1 | 
|  South-america | ESPN South | 
|  Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ | 
|  Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ | 
|  Uruguay | Disney+ | 
|  Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz | 
|  Venezuela | Disney+, Inter | 
|  World | Disney+, Pluto TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.23 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 79% | 21% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 25 | 6 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 11 | 2 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 14 | 2 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 9 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 5 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Touches in the Opposition Box | 
|---|
| 30 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (489/560) | 70% (112/160) | 
| Passes in the final third | 
|---|
| 77% (152/197) | 49% (22/45) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 23% (11/48) | 50% (1/2) | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 90% (9/10) | 
| Clearances Total | 
|---|
| 14 | 60 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 11 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Trauco M. (Own goal), 
- 14', Noriega E. 🟨, 
- 19', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Ceppelini P. (A), 
- 34', Ceppelini P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Quevedo K. ↓, Cantero A. ↑, 
- 58', 2 - 1, Zenon K. ⚽, 
- 62', Miguel Merentiel 🟨, 
- 63', Gaibor F. 🟨, 
- 63', Garces R. 🟨, 
- 64', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟨, 
- 64', Saracchi M. 🟨, 
- 75', Saracchi M. ↓, Blanco L. ↑, 
- 75', Herrera A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑, 
- 78', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑, 
- 78', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑, 
- 78', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑, 
- 90+1', Paolo Guerrero 🟨, 
- 90+3', Gimenez M. 🟨, 
- 90+9', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑, 
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen), 
- 1, Rojo M. (Pen), 
- 2, Gaibor F. (Pen), 
- 2, Cavani E. (Pen), 
- 3, Trauco M. (Pen), 
- 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen), 
- 4, Noriega E. (Pen), 
- 4, Gimenez M. (Pen), 
- 5, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Pen), 
- 5, Velasco A. (Pen), 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Boca Juniors 68.7%
 | Draw 20.5%
 | Alianza Lima 10.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.38 ↑ (1.33)
 | 4.56 ↓ (4.8)
 | 8.75 ↑ (8.5)
 | 6.1% (7.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 46.4% – 99%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1. 
- Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
- Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 
- Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games. 
- In this match Boca Juniors is certain favorite.
 
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3). 
- Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
                            Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Boca Juniors?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.02.2025 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Boca Juniors 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Boca Juniors                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Lima