Boca Juniors vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima
Result
2:2 penalties
25/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, Fox Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanySportdigital+
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainbeIN Sports, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, Pluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.560.23
Ball Possession
79%21%
Goal Attempts
256
Shots on Goal
112
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
131
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
19
Free Kicks
105
Offsides
12
Fouls
510
Yellow Cards
35
Throw-ins
1416
Touches in the Opposition Box
303
Passes
87% (489/560)70% (112/160)
Passes in the final third
77% (152/197)49% (22/45)
Crosses
23% (11/48)50% (1/2)
Tackles
78% (18/23)90% (9/10)
Clearances Total
1460
Interceptions
711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Trauco M. (Own goal),
  • 14', Noriega E. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Ceppelini P. (A),
  • 34', Ceppelini P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Quevedo K. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Zenon K. ⚽,
  • 62', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
  • 63', Gaibor F. 🟨,
  • 63', Garces R. 🟨,
  • 64', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟨,
  • 64', Saracchi M. 🟨,
  • 75', Saracchi M. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
  • 75', Herrera A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 78', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
  • 78', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
  • 78', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
  • 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
  • 2, Gaibor F. (Pen),
  • 2, Cavani E. (Pen),
  • 3, Trauco M. (Pen),
  • 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
  • 4, Noriega E. (Pen),
  • 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
  • 5, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Pen),
  • 5, Velasco A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
68.7%		Draw
20.5%		Alianza Lima
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.3% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 17.8% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↑
    (1.33)    		 4.56 ↓
    (4.8)    		 8.75 ↑
    (8.5)    		 6.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 46.4% – 99%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games.
    • In this match Boca Juniors is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    22.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Aldosivi 2:1 ✺
    18.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors 1:0 ✺
    14.02.2025 Banfield - Boca Juniors 0:1 ✺
    11.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2025 Racing - Boca Juniors 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    21.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College 1:0 ✺
    18.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2025 Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima 3:1 ✺
    12.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Nacional Asuncion 3:1 ✺
    08.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Cusco 3:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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