Result
2:2 penalties
25/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 79% | 21% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (489/560) | 70% (112/160) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 77% (152/197) | 49% (22/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (11/48) | 50% (1/2) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 90% (9/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Trauco M. (Own goal),
- 14', Noriega E. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Ceppelini P. (A),
- 34', Ceppelini P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Quevedo K. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Zenon K. ⚽,
- 62', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
- 63', Gaibor F. 🟨,
- 63', Garces R. 🟨,
- 64', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟨,
- 64', Saracchi M. 🟨,
- 75', Saracchi M. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
- 75', Herrera A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 78', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 78', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 78', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 90+1', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 90+3', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 90+9', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
- 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
- 2, Gaibor F. (Pen),
- 2, Cavani E. (Pen),
- 3, Trauco M. (Pen),
- 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
- 4, Noriega E. (Pen),
- 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
- 5, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Pen),
- 5, Velasco A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
68.7% | Draw
20.5% | Alianza Lima
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1%)
Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.33) |
4.56 ↓
(4.8) |
8.75 ↑
(8.5) |
6.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
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What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
- Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games.
- In this match Boca Juniors is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Alianza Lima?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Boca Juniors?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.02.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
