Result
2:0
19/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (465/528) | 87% (280/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (465/528) | 87% (280/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (55/81) | 75% (46/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Huaman M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Silva N. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 55', Cari P. 🟨,
- 56', Ruidias M. 🟨,
- 58', Colman I. 🟨,
- 61', Cari P. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
- 61', Archimbaud J. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
- 72', Gentile G. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 73', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 82', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 82', Silva N. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 86', Succar M. 🟨,
- 87', Colitto L. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 90', Aucca M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tevez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cusco
50.3% | Draw
28.5% | Alianza Lima
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-19.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+17.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cusco - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(3.01) |
3.26 ↑
(3.1) |
4.34 ↑
(2.36) |
7.3%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cusco - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cusco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 2.
- Cusco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alianza Lima is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cusco is seen as the favorite.
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Alianza Lima?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cusco?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Alianza Lima were as follows:
08.02.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Cusco
3:0
03.11.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cusco
1:2
24.05.2024
Cusco
-
Alianza Lima
3:0
13.08.2023
Cusco
-
Alianza Lima
1:1
11.03.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cusco
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
