Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso
Result
3:4
13/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Haro D. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.701.52
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
85% (418/490)59% (90/153)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.701.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.921.82
Total shots
188
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (418/490)59% (90/153)
Long passes
62% (26/42)25% (15/61)
Passes in final third
79% (155/197)56% (18/32)
Crosses
29% (10/34)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.74
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (4/6)50% (7/14)
Duels won
2934
Clearances
1350
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.822.92
Goals prevented
-2.18-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 4)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Barcos H. (Pen),
  • 16', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Lojas J. , Sandoval K. (A),
  • 26', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Erustes P. , Naya E. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 3, Sandoval K. (Pen),
  • 42', 1 - 4, Naya E. , Erustes P. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 4, Gaibor F. , Barcos H. (A),
  • 45+1', Trauco M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Aquino P. , Ceppelini P. ,
  • 61', Chavez G. , Estrada J. ,
  • 62', Barcos H. , Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 64', Arancibia F. , Portales J. ,
  • 73', Naya E. 🟨,
  • 74', Pena S. (Pen),
  • 74', 3 - 4, Pena S. ,
  • 76', Cantero A. , Gentile G. ,
  • 76', Pena S. , Cari P. ,
  • 78', Naya E. , Paucar E. ,
  • 90+3', Sandoval K. , Celi Y. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
76.2%
Draw
15.4%
Deportivo Garcilaso
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 17.9% 10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 17% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.31)
    6.34
    (5.21)
    11.71
    (8.67)
    3.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).
    • Alianza Lima is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Garces R. (Red Card) Quevedo K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Paolo Guerrero (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F. (Injury)
    • We predict that Alianza Lima will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima 0:1
    26.10.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima 1:2
    19.05.2024 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:2
    29.10.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima 0:1
    10.06.2023 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:2
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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