Result
0:1
14/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (173/239) | 81% (289/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (173/239) | 81% (289/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 57% (34/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (62/102) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Enrique G. ↓, Huaman M. ↑,
- 13', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 20', Erustes P. 🟨,
- 25', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 38', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Gaibor F. (A),
- 62', Gomez N. 🟨,
- 63', Quevedo K. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 65', Gariglio I. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 70', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 78', Naya E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 81', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 81', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 85', Nunez O. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 86', Sandoval K. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 90+5', Moreno X. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
42% | Draw
31.7% | Alianza Lima
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Garcilaso that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.86) |
2.94 ↓
(3.35) |
3.54 ↑
(2.4) |
7.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Garcilaso: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).
- Deportivo Garcilaso in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Alianza Lima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Deportivo Garcilaso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Deportivo Garcilaso will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Garcia C.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Inactive)
Cantero A.
(Injury)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Red Card)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Alianza Lima?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Lima has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima were as follows:
26.10.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
19.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
29.10.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
10.06.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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