Result
3:4
13/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/490) | 59% (90/153) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/490) | 59% (90/153) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 25% (15/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (155/197) | 56% (18/32) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.18 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 4)
- 8', 1 - 0, Barcos H. (Pen),
- 16', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Lojas J. ⚽, Sandoval K. (A),
- 26', Cantero A. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 2, Erustes P. ⚽, Naya E. (A),
- 39', 1 - 3, Sandoval K. (Pen),
- 42', 1 - 4, Naya E. ⚽, Erustes P. (A),
- 44', 2 - 4, Gaibor F. ⚽, Barcos H. (A),
- 45+1', Trauco M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Aquino P. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 61', Chavez G. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 62', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 64', Arancibia F. ↓, Portales J. ↑,
- 73', Naya E. 🟨,
- 74', Pena S. (Pen),
- 74', 3 - 4, Pena S. ⚽,
- 76', Cantero A. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 76', Pena S. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 78', Naya E. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
- 90+3', Sandoval K. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
76.2% | Draw
15.4% | Deportivo Garcilaso
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.31) |
6.34 ↑
(5.21) |
11.71 ↑
(8.67) |
3.7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).
- Alianza Lima is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Alianza Lima is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Garces R.
(Red Card)
Quevedo K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Paolo Guerrero
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Injury)
- We predict that Alianza Lima will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Lima has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Alianza Lima?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
14.04.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
26.10.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
19.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
29.10.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
10.06.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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