Result
28/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (383/451) | 76% (218/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (383/451) | 76% (218/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (94/124) | 50% (35/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Zambrano C. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 57', Barcos H. 🟨,
- 58', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 58', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 60', Tandazo W. 🟨,
- 65', Cantero A. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 65', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 69', Bordacahar C. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 74', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 74', Quevedo K. ↓, Soyer B. ↑,
- 81', Cuesta B. 🟨,
- 83', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 1, Gaibor F. (Pen),
- 85', Guzman L. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 85', Lazo M. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
- 88', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 90+6', Barrios P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
49.6% | Draw
29.1% | Alianza Lima
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.2) |
3.18 ↓
(3.2) |
4.33 ↑
(3.39) |
7.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Recent performances by Melgar have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Lima?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima were as follows:
28.09.2024
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
28.04.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
28.09.2023
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
19.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
12.11.2022
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
2:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Cusco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Alianza Huanuco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Ayacucho | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
