Result
31/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
51.3% | Draw
26.9% | FBC Melgar
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1.3%)The ML Model estimate for FBC Melgar aligns with the current prediction.
Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.45 ↓
(3.46) |
4.14 ↑
(4.08) |
7.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
- Alianza Lima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melgar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Lima?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar were as follows:
28.09.2024
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
28.04.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
28.09.2023
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
19.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
12.11.2022
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Grau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
