Result
3:1
09/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
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| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (296/351) | 81% (287/354) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.71 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.01 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (296/351) | 81% (287/354) |
| Long passes |
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| 71% (32/45) | 37% (15/41) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 76% (101/133) | 73% (54/74) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (2/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 2.17 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
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| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 80% (8/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 37 | 31 |
| Clearances |
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| 7 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.09 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.09 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Salas J. 🟨,
- 23', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Paolo Guerrero ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Vidales J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', Antoni M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lazo M. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 46', Cuesta B. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
- 58', Salas J. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
- 64', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 1, Velez J. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
- 71', Cantero A. 🟨,
- 75', Zanelatto F. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 78', Cantero A. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 78', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Garces R. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
- 86', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
- 86', Gaibor F. ↓, Aquino P. ↑,
- 90', Velez J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 90', Vidales J. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
55.3% | Draw
26.7% | FBC Melgar
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.63) |
3.46 ↓
(3.63) |
5.13 ↓
(5.54) |
8.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Lima will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
- Alianza Lima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Melgar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Melgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Knee Injury)
Castillo E.
(Red Card)
Castillo J.
(Injury)
Viscarra G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Melgar: Guzman L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Melgar: Orzan H.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Alianza Lima will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Lima?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar were as follows:
31.10.2025
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
28.09.2024
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
28.04.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
28.09.2023
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
19.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Grau | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
