Result
09/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
56.3% | Draw
26.2% | FBC Melgar
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.63) |
3.53 ↓
(3.63) |
5.23 ↓
(5.54) |
8.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
- Alianza Lima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melgar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Alianza Lima will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Lima?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar were as follows:
31.10.2025
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
28.09.2024
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
28.04.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
28.09.2023
Alianza Lima
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
19.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Cajamarca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Cusco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Grau | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
