Result
3:1
16/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (408/482) | 72% (196/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (408/482) | 72% (196/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/68) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (130/168) | 66% (43/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 0, Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
- 31', Garces R. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Lopez C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Pena S. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 62', Gaibor F. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Cari P. ⚽, Garces R. (A),
- 68', Saba E. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 69', Urruti L. ↓, Nequecaur L. ↑,
- 78', Gentile G. ↓, Aquino P. ↑,
- 81', Castillo E. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Aquino P. ⚽, Paolo Guerrero (A),
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
63.8% | Draw
22.1% | Sport Boys
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Lima's form might have worsened.Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-2%)
Alianza Lima - Sport Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.3) |
4.2 ↓
(5.31) |
6.77 ↓
(8.6) |
7.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Sport Boys?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Sport Boys (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Barcos H.
(Red Card)
Chavez G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sport Boys: Nequecaur L.
(Injury)
Solis A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:7. (average 1.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Sport Boys?
Alianza Lima has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Boys won against Alianza Lima?
Sport Boys has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Sport Boys were as follows:
23.05.2025
Sport Boys
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
21.09.2024
Sport Boys
-
Alianza Lima
0:3
18.04.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Sport Boys
3:0
16.07.2023
Sport Boys
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
12.02.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Sport Boys
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Grau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
