Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/10/2025 at  14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 15
 
                                                - Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.21 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 59% | 41% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 21 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (341/408) | 75% (221/296) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.21 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.36 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 21 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 12 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 9 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 13 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 25 | 20 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (341/408) | 75% (221/296) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 43% (31/72) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 74% (113/152) | 51% (39/76) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 44% (4/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.23 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 8 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 50% (9/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 37 | 46 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 4 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.66 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.34 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 11', Fernandez E. 🟨, 
 - 16', Huaccha R. 🟨, 
 - 18', Pellejero R. 🟥, 
 - 20', Trauco M. 🟨, 
 - 23', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, 
 - 32', Gentile G. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑, 
 - 46', Estrada J. 🟨, 
 - 59', Fernandez E. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑, 
 - 65', Castillo E. ↓, Chavez G. ↑, 
 - 67', Villar E. ↓, Carranza M. ↑, 
 - 67', Huaccha R. ↓, Posito J. ↑, 
 - 71', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Barcos H. ↑, 
 - 72', Ceppelini P. ↓, Pena S. ↑, 
 - 75', Ceppelini P. 🟥, 
 - 78', Madrid J. ↓, Barboza S. ↑, 
 - 86', Castillo J. ↓, Aquino P. ↑, 
 - 90+1', 0 - 2, Barcos H. ⚽, Pena S. (A), 
 - 90+8', 1 - 2, Carabano D. ⚽, Barboza S. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Sport Huancayo  34% | Draw  29.1% | Alianza Lima  36.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.91 ↑ (2.45) | 
			   3.31 ↑ (3.2) | 
			   2.58 ↓ (2.8) | 
			   3.3% (7.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            6 users predict this event. Huancayo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Huancayo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Alianza Lima (1.51) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
 
                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 1.
 - Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
 - Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
 - There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A.
(Muscle Injury)
 - There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Castillo E.
(Injury)
Quevedo K.
(Injury)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Sport Huancayo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima were as follows:
                                                        
                                14.06.2025 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Sport Huancayo 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.10.2024 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Sport Huancayo 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.05.2024 
                                Sport Huancayo 
                                - 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.08.2023 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Sport Huancayo 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.03.2023 
                                Sport Huancayo 
                                - 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sport Huancayo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Lima                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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