Result
2:1
25/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (317/421) | 76% (319/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (317/421) | 76% (319/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 61% (46/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (79/131) | 64% (77/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Assadi L. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A),
- 23', Garces R. 🟨,
- 32', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
- 38', Burlamaqui A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Aquino P. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Altamirano J. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
- 57', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 57', Pena S. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
- 58', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 63', Cantero A. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Quevedo K. (A),
- 68', Guerra N. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 68', Assadi L. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 72', Ramirez N. 🟨,
- 75', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Enrique G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
50.7% | Draw
28% | Alianza Lima
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Chile's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Chile that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+22.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(3.2) |
3.71 ↑
(3.25) |
4.86 ↑
(2.19) |
-3.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Alianza Lima (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Recent form of Universidad de Chile has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
- Universidad de Chile is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Alianza Lima?
Universidad de Chile has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Universidad de Chile?
Alianza Lima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.09.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Universidad de Chile
0:0
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
