Alianza Lima vs Universidad de Chile – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima).

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Mola
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter

Chances of winning

Alianza Lima
40%

Draw
31.2%

Universidad de Chile
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Alianza Lima - Universidad de Chile Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.27)	3.04 ↓ (3.11)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	5.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Universidad de Chile?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg.
Alianza Lima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Lima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Latest results of Alianza Lima

16.09.2025 Los Chankas - Alianza Lima Postponed ✺

13.09.2025 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:4 ✺

24.08.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima 0:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Alianza Lima 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Universidad de Chile

14.09.2025 Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile 0:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Universidad de Chile - Everton de Viña Postponed ✺

20.08.2025 Independiente - Universidad de Chile Abandoned ✺

17.08.2025 Universidad de Chile - Audax Italiano 1:3 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Alianza Lima	Gremio	1 : 1, 2 : 0
2	Bye	U. Catolica
3	U. De Chile	Guarani	1 : 2, 5 : 0
4	Bye	Independiente
5	Central Cordoba	Cerro Largo	3 : 0, 0 : 0
6	Bye	Lanus
7	Bahia	America De Cali	0 : 2, 0 : 0
8	Bye	Fluminense
9	Bolivar	Palestino	3 : 0, 3 : 0
10	Bye	Cienciano
11	Bucaramanga	Atletico-MG	1 : 1, 0 : 1
12	Bye	Godoy Cruz
13	Ind. del Valle	Vasco	1 : 1, 4 : 0
14	Bye	Mushuc Runa
15	SA Bulo Bulo	Once Caldas	0 : 4, 0 : 3
16	Bye	Huracan

1/8-finals

1	Alianza Lima	U. Catolica	2 : 1, 2 : 0
2	U. De Chile	Independiente	1 : 1, 1 : 0
3	Central Cordoba	Lanus	0 : 2, 1 : 0
4	America De Cali	Fluminense	0 : 2, 1 : 2
5	Bolivar	Cienciano	2 : 0, 2 : 0
6	Atletico-MG	Godoy Cruz	1 : 0, 2 : 1
7	Ind. del Valle	Mushuc Runa	2 : 2, 1 : 0
8	Once Caldas	Huracan	3 : 1, 1 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Alianza Lima	U. De Chile
2	Lanus	Fluminense	1 : 0
3	Bolivar	Atletico-MG	2 : 2
4	Ind. del Valle	Once Caldas	0 : 2

© Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress