Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/341) | 80% (263/330) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/341) | 80% (263/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 68% (66/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 20', Garces R. 🟨,
- 40', Riveros W. 🟨,
- 45', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Perez Guedes M. ⚽, Valera A. (A),
- 61', Quevedo K. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 65', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 66', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
- 72', Alzugaray L. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
- 72', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 73', Advincula L. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
- 73', Gaibor F. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
- 77', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
- 78', Valera A. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
- 84', Castillo E. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 90+4', Flores E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
44.1% | Draw
30.1% | Alianza Lima
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.08) |
3.08 ↓
(3.15) |
3.61 ↓
(3.65) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Alianza Lima (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Alianza Lima (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alianza Lima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.
- In recent matches, Uni de Deportes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Lima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Uni de Deportes might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Reyna B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Gassama S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Pavez E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Alianza Lima?
Universitario de Deportes has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Universitario de Deportes?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima were as follows:
24.08.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
05.04.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Universitario de Deportes
1:1
26.07.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
10.02.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:1
08.11.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:2
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
