Result
3:2
02/05/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LPF - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Panama | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Herrera G. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Alvarado J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 2, Cordoba A. ⚽,
- 62', Garces J. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Guardia H. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alianza Panama
35.2% | Draw
31.6% | Sporting San Miguelito
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.79) |
2.87 ↑
(2.76) |
2.73 ↑
(2.65) |
10.3%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Panama will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Recent performances by Alianza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Miguelito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.
- Recently, San Miguelito has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Panama won against Sporting San Miguelito?
Alianza Panama has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting San Miguelito won against Alianza Panama?
Sporting San Miguelito has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito were as follows:
11.02.2026
Sporting San Miguelito
-
Alianza Panama
1:0
19.10.2025
Sporting San Miguelito
-
Alianza Panama
2:1
27.07.2025
Alianza Panama
-
Sporting San Miguelito
2:1
03.05.2025
Sporting San Miguelito
-
Alianza Panama
2:0
20.02.2025
Alianza Panama
-
Sporting San Miguelito
1:2
Latest results of Alianza Panama
Latest results of Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol Table
ClausuraEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Alianza | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Tauro | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 6 | Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 18 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Independiente | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | San Francisco | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 5 | Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:37 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ LPF (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ LPF (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
