Result
0:3
28/02/2026 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Toro S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (255/315) | 88% (391/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 4.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (255/315) | 88% (391/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 75% (84/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.47 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 17', Fernandez W. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Valencia D. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Valencia D. ⚽, Guzman Y. (A),
- 41', Palacios J. 🟨,
- 41', Fernandez W. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cantillo F. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
- 46', Valencia D. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
- 46', Palacios J. ↓, Angulo K. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 3, Carrascal R. ⚽, Machis D. (A),
- 59', Pardo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
- 59', Munoz J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 61', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 63', Castillo M. ↓, Mina L. M. ↑,
- 68', Lucumi J. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 68', Lucumi C. ↓, Valencia L. ↑,
- 74', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
- 75', Bertel O. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 83', Carrascal R. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5vvddufn
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
33% | Draw
31.6% | América de Cali
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.68) |
2.95 ↓
(3.14) |
2.64 ↑
(2.63) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Alianza (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
- Recent form of Alianza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- América de Cali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against América de Cali?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Alianza Valledupar?
América de Cali has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali were as follows:
31.08.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
América de Cali
1:0
15.03.2025
América de Cali
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:0
22.09.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
América de Cali
0:1
09.03.2024
América de Cali
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
06.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
América de Cali
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of América de Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
