Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar
Result
3:0
08/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (376/435)83% (280/338)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.27
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
159
Passes
86% (376/435)83% (280/338)
Long passes
64% (42/66)39% (11/28)
Passes in final third
74% (87/117)71% (82/116)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.37
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
915
Tackles
63% (5/8)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3836
Clearances
3118
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.271.67
Goals prevented
0.27-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Batista F. , Bauza J. (A),
  • 28', Manjarres R. 🟨,
  • 37', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Manjarres R. , Munoz J. ,
  • 46', Osorio J. , Del Valle A. ,
  • 52', Mosquera F. 🟨,
  • 55', Batista F. , Morelos A. ,
  • 63', Pardo F. , Munoz J. ,
  • 63', Mosquera F. , Perez L. ,
  • 63', Saldana L. 🟨,
  • 68', Arce B. , Sarmiento A. ,
  • 68', Moreno M. , Hinestroza M. ,
  • 74', Bauza J. , Cardona E. ,
  • 74', Rivero E. , Zapata J. ,
  • 77', Rosales Y. , Moreno K. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Zapata J. , Hinestroza M. (A),
  • 90', 3 - 0, Sarmiento A. , Cardona E. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/sp7be2u4

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
60.5%
Draw
24.2%
Alianza Valledupar
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 23.6% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 23% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    3.91
    (3.97)
    6.27
    (6.18)
    6.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 3:2
    19.09.2024 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 2:1
    16.09.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    17.07.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 0:2
    21.01.2024 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1374226:161025
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    5Atl. Nacional1365222:15723
    6Deportes Tolima1362516:12420
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1354416:16019
    10Llaneros1454511:13-219
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1436512:14-215
    13U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    14America De Cali1335510:11-114
    15Aguilas1335516:19-314
    16Millonarios1342714:19-514
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Chico1325610:21-1111
    19La Equidad132567:18-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1324712:18-610

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )