Result
3:0
21/02/2026 at 18:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (277/333) | 84% (275/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (277/333) | 84% (275/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 59% (27/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (51/77) | 70% (64/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Arango C. ⚽,
- 21', Arango C. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Morelos A. ⚽,
- 38', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Roman A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 0, Morelos A. ⚽, Rengifo J. (A),
- 62', Fernandez W. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 62', Cantillo F. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
- 63', Pardo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
- 64', Arango C. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 64', Sarmiento A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 73', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 73', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 73', Uribe M. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 73', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 76', Figueroa J. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
- 76', Munoz J. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 85', Campuzano J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/9vc8kex6
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
71.8% | Draw
18.8% | Alianza Valledupar
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.35) |
4.99 ↑
(4.49) |
9.73 ↑
(8.54) |
6.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
- Atlético Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alianza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Alianza Valledupar?
Atlético Nacional has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Atlético Nacional?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
08.08.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:0
23.02.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Nacional
3:2
19.09.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:1
16.09.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
17.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Nacional
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
