Result
3:0
08/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (376/435) | 83% (280/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (376/435) | 83% (280/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (42/66) | 39% (11/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (87/117) | 71% (82/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Batista F. ⚽, Bauza J. (A),
- 28', Manjarres R. 🟨,
- 37', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Manjarres R. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 46', Osorio J. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 52', Mosquera F. 🟨,
- 55', Batista F. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 63', Pardo F. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 63', Mosquera F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 63', Saldana L. 🟨,
- 68', Arce B. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 68', Moreno M. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 74', Bauza J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 74', Rivero E. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
- 77', Rosales Y. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Zapata J. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 90', 3 - 0, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/sp7be2u4
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
60.5% | Draw
24.2% | Alianza Valledupar
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.53) |
3.91 ↓
(3.97) |
6.27 ↑
(6.18) |
6.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Alianza Valledupar?
Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Atlético Nacional?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
23.02.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Nacional
3:2
19.09.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:1
16.09.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
17.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Atlético Nacional
0:2
21.01.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
