Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar
08/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
66.4%
Draw
21.7%
Alianza Valledupar
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 23.6% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 23% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.53)
    4.37
    (3.97)
    7.77
    (6.18)
    7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 3:2
    19.09.2024 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 2:1
    16.09.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    17.07.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional 0:2
    21.01.2024 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Santa Fe52306:429
    4Atl. Nacional52218:538
    5Fortaleza42206:428
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas40223:5-22
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )