Alianza San Miguel vs Alajuelense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF Central American Cup Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense
Result
1:2
20/08/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, ESPNPlay Caribbean
usaUsaConcacaf GO
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Disney+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Campos D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 2, Campos D. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Mauricio E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdes34vk

Chances of winning


Alianza San Miguel
30.2%
Draw
26.4%
Alajuelense
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 25.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 26.9% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza San Miguel's form might have worsened.
  • Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alajuelense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.12)
    3.44
    (3.6)
    2.1
    (3.02)
    9.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense?
  • Users Predictions: Alajuelense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Alianza San Miguel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alajuelense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alianza San Miguel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Alianza San Miguel will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza San Miguel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza San Miguel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense were as follows:
    13.09.2022 Alajuelense - Alianza San Miguel 2:0
    07.09.2022 Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense 0:1
    Latest results of Alajuelense
    CONCACAF Central American Cup Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Antigua21104:134
    2Plaza Amador11002:113
    3Alajuelense21013:303
    4Alianza FC10100:001
    5Managua FC20022:6-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Diriangen21105:324
    2Herediano21016:603
    3Municipal20202:202
    4Miguelito10101:101
    5Real Espana10012:4-20


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motagua22006:246
    2Saprissa22004:136
    3Independiente10011:2-10
    4Cartagines10010:2-20
    5Verdes20022:6-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia22006:156
    2Xelaju22005:056
    3Aguila10010:3-30
    4Esteli10010:3-30
    5Hercules20021:5-40

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