Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Universidad de Huánuco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Huancayo (Huancayo).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.74
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
9	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
87% (381/437)	86% (343/397)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.54	1.05
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
17	15
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
9	18
Passes
87% (381/437)	86% (343/397)
Long passes
51% (30/59)	50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)	68% (52/76)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	1.05
Throw-ins
15	14
Fouls
18	9
Tackles
86% (12/14)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
32	46
Clearances
11	20
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.05	2.54
Goals prevented
0.05	-2.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen),
24', 1 - 1, Murillo Y. ⚽,
24', Pellejero R. 🟨,
26', 2 - 1, Barboza S. ⚽,
44', Gomez A. 🟨,
45+4', Gomez A. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
46', Ynamine P. ↓, Espinoza Gomes I. ↑,
50', Mena Y. 🟨,
56', Fernandez E. ↓, Lujan N. ↑,
56', Posito J. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
58', Salcedo R. 🟨,
61', Campodonico R. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
68', de Jesus M. ↓, Carabano D. ↑,
71', Fuentes P. 🟨,
73', Carabano D. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Carabano D. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
78', Lliuya M. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
78', Ascues C. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Huaccha R. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
81', Salcedo R. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
82', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 1, Magallanes P. ⚽, Angeles H. (A),

Chances of winning

Sport Huancayo
58.5%

Draw
23.3%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

28.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Huancayo's performance.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	4.02 ↑ (3.4)	5.12 ↑ (4.33)	6.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

Users Predictions: Sport Huancayo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 3.
Recent form of Huancayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Alianza Universidad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Huancayo is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?

Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Sport Huancayo?

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:

12.05.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo 0:1

Latest results of Sport Huancayo

26.09.2025 Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Sport Huancayo - Cienciano 5:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Huancayo 2:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Sport Huancayo - Los Chankas 1:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

26.09.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys 2:3 ✺

18.09.2025 Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cienciano 0:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 1:2 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	12	9	3	0	23:8	15	30
2	Cusco	12	7	2	3	19:11	8	23
3	AD Tarma	13	6	3	4	17:17	0	21
4	Sporting Cristal	11	5	4	2	20:8	12	19
5	FBC Melgar	13	4	6	3	18:13	5	18
6	Alianza Lima	12	5	3	4	18:14	4	18
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	4	6	2	16:16	0	18
8	Alianza Atl	12	4	4	4	11:8	3	16
9	Comerciantes Unidos	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16
10	Sport Huancayo	13	4	3	6	23:22	1	15
11	Cienciano	11	4	3	4	16:15	1	15
12	Grau	12	4	3	5	16:15	1	15
13	Los Chankas	11	5	0	6	14:24	-10	15
14	Alianza Huanuco	12	4	1	7	14:24	-10	13
15	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	10:16	-6	12
16	Juan Pablo II	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
17	Ayacucho	12	3	2	7	10:19	-9	11
18	Cajamarca	11	1	3	7	9:16	-7	6
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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