Result
 
                    5:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        30/09/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
 
                                                - Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.74 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (381/437) | 86% (343/397) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.74 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.05 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (381/437) | 86% (343/397) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 50% (19/38) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 66% (77/117) | 68% (52/76) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (3/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.05 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 18 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 69% (9/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 32 | 46 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 11 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.54 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.05 | -2.46 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
 - 20', 0 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen), 
 - 24', 1 - 1, Murillo Y. ⚽, 
 - 24', Pellejero R. 🟨, 
 - 26', 2 - 1, Barboza S. ⚽, 
 - 44', Gomez A. 🟨, 
 - 45+4', Gomez A. 🟥, 
 - 2nd Half (3 - 0)
 - 46', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑, 
 - 46', Ynamine P. ↓, Espinoza Gomes I. ↑, 
 - 50', Mena Y. 🟨, 
 - 56', Fernandez E. ↓, Lujan N. ↑, 
 - 56', Posito J. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑, 
 - 58', Salcedo R. 🟨, 
 - 61', Campodonico R. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑, 
 - 68', de Jesus M. ↓, Carabano D. ↑, 
 - 71', Fuentes P. 🟨, 
 - 73', Carabano D. 🟨, 
 - 78', 3 - 1, Carabano D. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A), 
 - 78', Lliuya M. ↓, Escobar J. ↑, 
 - 78', Ascues C. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑, 
 - 81', 4 - 1, Huaccha R. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A), 
 - 81', Salcedo R. ↓, Herrera J. ↑, 
 - 82', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑, 
 - 90+3', 5 - 1, Magallanes P. ⚽, Angeles H. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Sport Huancayo  58.5% | Draw  23.3% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco  18.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.61 ↓ (1.8) | 
			   4.02 ↑ (3.4) | 
			   5.12 ↑ (4.33) | 
			   6.6% (8.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Sport Huancayo will win 
                    (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 3.
 - Recent form of Huancayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - In recent matches, Alianza Universidad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, Huancayo is a strong favorite.
 - There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A.
(Injury)
 - In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Sport Huancayo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
                                                        
                                12.05.2025 
                                Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 
                                - 
                                Sport Huancayo 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sport Huancayo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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