Result
5:1
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (381/437) | 86% (343/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (381/437) | 86% (343/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (77/117) | 68% (52/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -2.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen),
- 24', 1 - 1, Murillo Y. ⚽,
- 24', Pellejero R. 🟨,
- 26', 2 - 1, Barboza S. ⚽,
- 44', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gomez A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
- 46', Ynamine P. ↓, Espinoza Gomes I. ↑,
- 50', Mena Y. 🟨,
- 56', Fernandez E. ↓, Lujan N. ↑,
- 56', Posito J. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
- 58', Salcedo R. 🟨,
- 61', Campodonico R. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 68', de Jesus M. ↓, Carabano D. ↑,
- 71', Fuentes P. 🟨,
- 73', Carabano D. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Carabano D. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
- 78', Lliuya M. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 78', Ascues C. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 1, Huaccha R. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
- 81', Salcedo R. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 82', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
- 90+3', 5 - 1, Magallanes P. ⚽, Angeles H. (A),
Chances of winning
Sport Huancayo
58.5% | Draw
23.3% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Huancayo's performance.Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+2%)
Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.8) |
4.02 ↑
(3.4) |
5.12 ↑
(4.33) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Huancayo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Huancayo (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sport Huancayo will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Huancayo (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 3.
- Recent form of Huancayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza Universidad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Huancayo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Sport Huancayo?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
12.05.2025
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
-
Sport Huancayo
0:1
Latest results of Sport Huancayo
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
