Alianza Valledupar vs Once Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 16:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Women - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
910
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Gomez L. , Gomez E. (A),
  • 33', Giraldo M. , Florez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 🟨,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 53', Giraldo C. , Castillo L. ,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 62', Perez E. , Gomez E. ,
  • 62', Cabrales V. , Guarnizo G. ,
  • 64', Martinez A. , Patino S. ,
  • 71', 0 - 2, Ruiz N. (Pen),
  • 76', Bonett S. , Granados K. ,
  • 80', Orozco M. , Alonso N. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Florez M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Guarnizo G. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
45.1%
Draw
26.2%
Once Caldas
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 24.3% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 22.9% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.
  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.58)
    3.76
    (3.75)
    3.42
    (5.07)
    1.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 14).
    • Recent matches Alianza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Once Caldas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Alianza is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Liga Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America de Cali W22007:166
    2Atl. Nacional W22006:066
    3Millonarios W22005:236
    4Inter Palmira W22004:226
    5Dep. Cali W21104:224
    6Llaneros W21102:024
    7Ind. Medellin W21014:313
    8Santa Fe W21013:303
    9Orsomarso W20111:3-21
    10Bucaramanga W20111:4-31
    11Fortaleza W20110:3-31
    12Junior W20110:3-31
    13Once Caldas W20110:3-31
    14Real Santander W20110:3-31
    15Inter Bogotu00e1 W20022:4-20
    16Dep. Pasto W20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )