Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (55/68) | 82% (62/76) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 43% (24/56) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (15/76) | 19% (13/68) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 44% (21/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 17% (1/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (81/115) | 65% (85/131) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (46/131) | 30% (34/115) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (127/246) | 48% (119/246) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 94% (17/18) | 89% (16/18) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 6% (1/18) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 47% (17/36) |
Chances of winning
Jan Choinski
45.7% | Alibek Kachmazov
54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.55) |
|
1.72 ↓
(2.24) |
7.1%
(9.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kachmazov: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Choinski is ranked ATP: 213. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 169.
- Choinski is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kachmazov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Alibek Kachmazov?
Jan Choinski has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alibek Kachmazov won against Jan Choinski?
Alibek Kachmazov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov were as follows:
30.10.2023
Alibek Kachmazov
-
Jan Choinski
2:1
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Latest results of Alibek Kachmazov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | McCabe J. (Q) | Loffhagen G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Trungelliti M. (SE) | Smith C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pinnington Jones J. (WC) | Nava E. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Peniston R. (WC) | Galan D. E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Holt B. (3) | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Spizzirri E. (LL) | Choinski J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Herbert P. | Mochizuki S. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Krueger M. | Boyer T. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cazaux A. (7) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Landaluce M. | Budkov Kjaer N. (NG) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Atmane T. | Gigante M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Fognini F. | Fery A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Trotter J. K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Schoolkate T. | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Harris L. (PR) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Grenier H. (Q) | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | McCabe J. | Smith C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Nava E. | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Faria J. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mochizuki S. | Boyer T. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mannarino A. | Landaluce M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Atmane T. | Fery A. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Harris L. (RET.) | Cilic M. (2) | 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Smith C. | Nava E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Faria J. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Landaluce M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Smith C. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. | Cilic M. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Mochizuki S. | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
