Jan Choinski vs Alibek Kachmazov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Nottingham Challenger Men Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov
Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals
Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
910
Double Faults
512
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (55/68)82% (62/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (27/48)43% (24/56)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
20% (15/76)19% (13/68)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (32/56)44% (21/48)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)17% (1/6)
Service Points Won
70% (81/115)65% (85/131)
Return Points Won
35% (46/131)30% (34/115)
Total Points Won
52% (127/246)48% (119/246)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
94% (17/18)89% (16/18)
Return Games Won
11% (2/18)6% (1/18)
Total Games Won
53% (19/36)47% (17/36)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
45.7%
Alibek Kachmazov
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.55)

    1.72
    (2.24)
    7.1%
    (9.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 213. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 169.
    • Choinski is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kachmazov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov were as follows:
    30.10.2023 Alibek Kachmazov - Jan Choinski 2:1
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Alibek Kachmazov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1McCabe J. (Q)Loffhagen G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Trungelliti M. (SE)Smith C. (LL)1 : 2
    3Pinnington Jones J. (WC)Nava E.1 : 2
    4Peniston R. (WC)Galan D. E. (5)2 : 1
    5Holt B. (3)Faria J.0 : 2
    6Spizzirri E. (LL)Choinski J. (Q)1 : 2
    7Herbert P.Mochizuki S. (SE)0 : 2
    8Krueger M.Boyer T. (8)0 : 2
    9Cazaux A. (7)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    10Landaluce M.Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)2 : 1
    11Atmane T.Gigante M. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fognini F.Fery A. (Q)0 : 2
    13Barrios Vera T. (6)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    14Schoolkate T.Blockx A.2 : 0
    15Harris L. (PR)Royer V.2 : 0
    16Grenier H. (Q)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1McCabe J.Smith C.1 : 2
    2Nava E.Peniston R.2 : 0
    3Faria J.Choinski J.2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Boyer T. (8)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A.Landaluce M.1 : 2
    6Atmane T.Fery A.2 : 1
    7Barrios Vera T. (6)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Harris L. (RET.)Cilic M. (2)1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Smith C.Nava E.2 : 1
    2Faria J.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    3Landaluce M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    4Barrios Vera T. (6)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Smith C.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    2Landaluce M.Cilic M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Mochizuki S.Cilic M. (2)0 : 2
    X
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